Bet on Will Jack Schlossberg Win NY-12 Congressional Seat

Written by :

C Costigan

Published on :

14 November, 2025

The U.S. Government is finally functioning again.

Well, I guess that depends on how you define "functioning," but the shutdown is over and people are getting paid again.

What are the chances we see another shutdown in early 2026? The oddsmakers don't foresee another occurrence as they're projecting just a 25% chance that it happens in Q1 next year.

In other politics news, we saw the BBC issue an apology to President Trump regarding the edited documentary. Will Trump receive compensation for any kind of libel damages...the odds suggest he will get some moola just as he did from other media corporations.

Finally, not sure if you heard but Jack Schlossberg, the grandson of John F. Kennedy, is running for Jerry Nadler's Manhattan congressional seat.

BetOnline.ag has set odds for Schlossberg winning that seat, his margin of victory and very distant odds of him being elected POTUS in 2036 or 2040.

Will President Trump receive financial compensation from BBC?

Yes (1/15)

No (6/1)

(Note: Odds equate to a 94% implied probability Trump will receive compensation)

Will there be a U.S. Government shutdown in Q1 2026?

Yes (3/1)

No (1/5)

(Note: Odds equate to a 25% implied probability government will shut down)

Will Jack Schlossberg win NY-12 congressional seat?

Yes (1/100)

Jack Schlossberg Margin of Victory in NY-12 Congressional Race

Over/Under (23.5%)