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Betting market also opens on Nicolas Maduro conviction in US courts.
Khamenei capture odds and more now up too.
Nicolas Maduro has been captured, and now President Donald Trump says that the U.S. will "run" Venezuela.
Betting markets are already up surrounding the news that North America woke up to this morning.
The oddsmakers at BetOnline.ag aren't predicting that the U.S. will use military force against Venezuela before April, with the numbers equating to just a 20% probability of an invasion happening.
How about Venezuela becoming the 51st State? There's a large camp that thinks it could happen given the country's oil supply, but the chances of that happening are just 22%, according to the 7/2 odds below.
And now that he's apprehended Maduro, many are speculating that Trump will go after Iran's Ali Khamenei next. The odds are against Khamenei being captured before next year.
Finally, going back to Venezuela, the odds support Maduro being convicted of a crime this year, and the chance of Maria Corina Machado becoming President of Venezuela are a tossup.
Will U.S. Congress authorize military force against Venezuela before April 1, 2026?
Yes 4/1 (+400)
No 1/7 (-700)
Will Nicolas Maduro be convicted by U.S. court before Jan. 1, 2027?
Yes 2/3 (-150)
No 11/10 (+110)
Will Maria Corina Machado become Venezuela President before Jan. 1, 2027?
Yes 5/6 (-120)
No 5/6 (-120)
Will Ali Khamenei be out as Iran Supreme Leader before Jan. 1, 2027?
Yes 11/10 (+110)
No 2/3 (-150)
Which will become 51st State during Trump's second term?
Greenland
Puerto Rico 5/2
Venezuela
US Virgin Islands 7/1
Guam
Canada
Washington D.C. 10/1
Israel
Mexico
Ukraine
Ireland
Mar-a-Lago
Gaza
United Kingdom 100/1
Australia
- BetOnline press
