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A new betting market has been unveiled at Polymarket Monday morning as to whether US Congressman Dan Crenshaw sues Shawn Ryan by January 31. The odds opened with a 41 percent chance to kick off the weekend but had dropped to below 10 percent by Monday morning.
Some Background
A former Navy SEAL and popular podcast host, Shawn Ryan, announced Thursday evening that GOP Texas Rep. Dan Crenshaw, a fellow Navy Seal himself, threatened to sue him for defamation over comments he made on his show.
“They want me to remove content, issue a public apology and stop talking about him,” Ryan said in a video posted on X. “I’m not going to do any of that.”
Ryan previously implied that the Crenshaw seemed to become wealthy since becoming a congressman and even once through a lavish Christmas party.
“After I made those comments, Congressman Crenshaw sent me an Instagram message,” he said.
Ryan posted that message he claims was from Crenshaw.
He posted a picture of the Instagram message that read, “Hey Shawn, you have the ability to contact your fellow Team Guy if you’ve got a problem with me or have questions about how I’m getting ‘rich.’ Some of my boys at 6 told me about your indirect swipe at me. From the comment you made, it sounds like you have some believes that are based on trendy narratives instead of facts.”
Contract Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dan Crenshaw initiates a lawsuit against Shawn Ryan by January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- T.C. Jackson, Gambling911.com Politics
