FBI Director Kash Patel's Scary Polymarket Exit Chances Revealed: Half Say Out By April 30

Submitted by Jagajeet Chiba on

Written by :

Jagajeet Chiba

Published on :

Kash Patel
  • Scathing article appearing in The Atlantic accuses FBI Director of "excessive drinking and unexplained absences"

  • Kash Patel responded on X Saturday saying he plans to take outlet to court

  • Traders at Polymarket are giving him just shy of a 50% chance of still being around by April 30

FBI Director Kash Patel fired back at The Atlantic after its correspondent, Sarah Fitzpatrick, ran a piece Friday claiming he had a “freak-out” when a computer glitch convinced him he had been fired while also reporting that Patel “has alarmed colleagues with episodes of excessive drinking and unexplained absences.”

The article title says it all.  

"The FBI Director Is MIA"

Patel denied the allegations on Saturday.  He tweeted out on X: 

““[S]ee you and your entire entourage of false reporting in court. But do keep at it with the fake news, actual malice standard is now what some would call a legal lay up.”

He referred to the outlet as "fake news" and said no amount of “BS” news outlets write “will ever deter this FBI from making America safe again.”

Patel also reshared a post from Erica Knight, whom CBS News previously reported is Patel’s longtime publicist, which said the alleged intoxication incidents happened “ZERO times” and that Patel has taken a total of 17 days off since taking office, which she says is less than half of his predecessors.

The prediction markets are not taking kindly to Patel..and that Atlantic article certainly is playing a role in driving trades.  We know this because his odds of being gone by month's end sat at just 4% 48 hours ago. 

Polymarket traders have him out by June 30 with a 60% chance and by year's end with a 73% chance (nearly three quarters of all traders). 

$162,656  has him out by the end of this month.  That's nearly 50 percent of traders. 

Consider that Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth has long been among the favorites to be next to exit the administration of Donald Trump.  Hegseth's chances of being gone by end of June are just 19%. 

The betting market on Tulsi Gabbard, the Director of National Intelligence, being ousted has been among the most sought after here at Gambling911.com over the past year yet her chances of departing by June 30 are a mere 24%.

  • Jagajeet Chiba, Gambling911.com 

Related Content

Live Gambling News, Top Trending: Updates 24/7 - Sunday June 14, 2026

Live Gambling News, Top Trending: Updates 24/7 - Sunday June 14, 2026

UFC Freedom 250 - World Cup - Germany vs. Curacao - Netherlands vs. Japan - Ivory Coast vs. Ecuador - Sweden vs. Tunisia - Southern Mississippi Casino Jackpots - Overland County Priest Gambling Charge
PPH World Cup Game Prop Bets - Netherlands v Japan

PPH World Cup Game Prop Bets - Netherlands v Japan

The Netherlands enter as the favorite Sunday, but Japan has developed a reputation for upsetting elite European sides in recent World Cups.
What Are the Payout Odds for Crysencio Summerville First, Anytime Goal Scorer Prop Bet: Netherlands vs. Japan

What Are the Payout Odds for Crysencio Summerville First, Anytime Goal Scorer Prop Bet: Netherlands vs. Japan

Crysencio Summerville pays out US$850 for every US$100 bet to score the first goal in this World Cup match, Netherlands vs. Japan.
What Are the Payout Odds for Ayase Ueda First, Anytime Goal Scorer Prop Bet: Netherlands vs. Japan

What Are the Payout Odds for Ayase Ueda First, Anytime Goal Scorer Prop Bet: Netherlands vs. Japan

Ayase Ueda pays out US$850 for every US$100 bet to score the first goal in this World Cup match, Netherlands vs. Japan.