Mark Carney Next Liberal Party Leader Canada Odds Set at Even

Written by:
Guest
Published on:
Jan/07/2025

Under mounting pressure from his party, Justin Trudeau announced yesterday that he will resign and end his nine-year stretch as Canada's Prime Minister.

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Trudeau said he would stay on in office until his Liberal Party can choose a new leader, and now there are betting markets for who that person will be.

BetOnline.ag has made Mark Carney the favorite to be the next party leader, but Chrystia Freeland is a very close second.

After that, you have a darkhorse in Dominic LeBlanc (8/1 odds) and then a host of longshots.

Additionally, there are odds for the party of the next Canadian Prime Minister, with the Conservative Party being a massive favorite.

The 1/15 odds imply a 93.8% probability the next PM will be from the Conservative Party.

Finally, after Trudeau’s exit, there are updated odds on the next “world leader” to leave his/her post. Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is the favorite.

 

Next Liberal Party Leader

 

Mark Carney

1/1

Chrystia Freeland

11/10

Dominic LeBlanc

8/1

Melanie Joly

25/1

Anita Anand

33/1

Francois-Philippe Champagne

33/1

Christy Clark

50/1

   

Prime Minister Party Post-Election

Conservative

1/15

Liberal

6/1

NDP

33/1

Bloc Quebecois

50/1

   

Next World Leader to Leave Position

Anthony Albanese

3/2

Benjamin Netanyahu

9/4

Lula da Silva

9/2

Volodomyr Zelenskyy

7/1

Vladimir Putin

12/1

Recep Tayyip Erdogan

16/1

Donald Trump

25/1

Xavier Milei

33/1

Emmanuel Macron

50/1

Keir Starmer

65/1

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