Mark Kelly to Be Kamala Harris VP Pick Say Oddsmakers

The daily volatility continues in political betting markets as we now have a fresh favorite for the Democratic Vice President Nominee.

BetOnline.ag made Josh Shapiro the favorite when odds first opened Sunday afternoon. This morning, former astronaut and Arizona Senator Mark Kelly was moved into the top spot.

"This change is really just based on where the bets are coming in," BetOnline.ag political oddsmaker Paul Krishnamurty said. "Most of the media narrative is directed toward Josh Shapiro, but at this point Mark Kelly being on the ticket would be a significant loss for our book because the bettors are strongly backing him."

                        Current Odds                            Odds on 7/21

Mark Kelly                    5/4       (+125)              8/1

Josh Shapiro                 5/2       (+250)              7/4

Roy Cooper                   9/2       (+450)              3/1

Andy Beshear               10/1                             5/1

Tim Walz                      14/1                             25/1

Pete Buttigieg               20/1                             8/1

Gretchen Whitmer        40/1                             16/1

Michelle Obama            40/1                             20/1

Gavin Newsom              50/1                             28/1

Hillary Clinton               66/1                             50/1

J.B. Pritzker                   66/1                             80/1

Mark Cuban                  66/1                             100/1

George Clooney            100/1                           100/1

Raphael Warnock          100/1                           50/1

Wes Moore                   100/1                           40/1

William McRaven          100/1                           N/A

Nick Saban                    250/1                           250/1

Oprah Winfrey              250/1                           250/1

Additionally, BetOnline ran a geotagged Twitter/X analysis to see which VP candidate each of the 50 states thinks should get the nod.

More than 110,000 tweets, hashtags and direct keyword phrases about who people want Kamala Harris to choose as her running mate were included in the data.

For example, if there were 500 tweets from Alabama containing "#HarrisShapiro2024" and 400 tweets containing "#HarrisKelly2024" then Shapiro would "win" that state.

As you can see from the map, Governor Shapiro and Senator Kelly are the two top choices.

Other popular names like Pete Buttigieg and Gavin Newsom did not win any states.

State Breakdown:

Josh Shapiro - 26 states (Alabama, Alaska, California, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Maine, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Montana, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Washington)

Mark Kelly - 19 states (Arizona, Arkansas, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Iowa, Kansas, Massachusetts, Missouri, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming)

Roy Cooper - 2 states (Louisiana, North Carolina)

Gretchen Whitmer - 2 states (Michigan, Utah)

Andy Beshear - 1 state (Kentucky)