Murkowski's Statement Shifts Senate Control Odds

Submitted by Guest on

Written by :

Guest

Published on :

Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski dropped a bomb in an interview with political podcaster Galen Druke today.

betonlinepolitics50.png

When Druke asked Murkowski whether or not she'd consider becoming an independent and caucusing with the Democrats if their party picks up three seats in the midterms, the senator said, "There may be that possibility...there is some openness to exploring something different than the status quo."

That exchange prompted a major odds shift across the political betting markets. 

BetOnline.ag quickly adjusted its "Senate Control" projections where the Republicans were a hefty favorite this morning. Here is the recap:

2026 Senate Control - Monday, June 23, 9 a.m. ET

Democrats        +400

Republicans      -700

(NOTE: Above odds imply an 87.5% probability GOP will control Senate)

 

2026 Senate Control - Monday, June 23, 4 p.m. ET

Democrats        +170

Republicans      -250

(NOTE: Above odds imply an 71.4% probability GOP will control Senate)

 

It doesn't seem like a big swing, but in the world of oddsmaking, it's a massive one.

Related Content

AP Poll Rankings vs. This Week's Updated Championship Odds

AP Poll Rankings vs. This Week's Updated Championship Odds

Each week we take a look at how the Associated Press voters align with the sportsbook. Check out the table below from BetOnline Sports & Casino comparing the latest AP poll rankings to the current CFP Championship odds.
Will the Tampa Bay Bucs Finally Cover the Spread With Baker Mayfield Out?

Will the Tampa Bay Bucs Finally Cover the Spread With Baker Mayfield Out?

Including games played in 2026, and going back to last season, the Bucs have failed to cover a spread in 12 consecutive games, according to records provided by BetOnline Sports & Casino.
You Can Now Bet on Total Number of Turnovers for Drake Maye in 2026

You Can Now Bet on Total Number of Turnovers for Drake Maye in 2026

Drake Maye dodged the dreaded sophomore slump last season, leading the Patriots to the Super Bowl during an MVP-caliber campaign.
Eagles vs. Bears Touchdown Scorer Prop Bets: Saquon Barkley, D'Andre Swift, Jalen Hurts

Eagles vs. Bears Touchdown Scorer Prop Bets: Saquon Barkley, D'Andre Swift, Jalen Hurts

Saquon Barkley is priced right at -110, paying close to even odds. Barkley has not scored yet in 2026, and one can argue he is due coming into this one.