November 4, 2025 Referendum Betting Odds for California, Texas, Maine, New York

Submitted by C Costigan on

Written by :

C Costigan

Published on :

On November 4, voters in six states will decide 24 statewide ballot measures, with several pivotal proposals targeting election and voting policies. 

UP TO $250 IN FREE BETS + 100 Free Spins

Key measures include California's Proposition 50, which would adopt a new, legislature-drawn congressional district map for the latter half of the decade. 

In Texas, Proposition 16 seeks to constitutionally ban non-citizens from voting, a policy already in state law, but one that would require greater legislative consensus and voter approval to ever amend.

BetOnline.ag has set yes/no odds for five November 4 referenda, including the two aforementioned ones in California and Texas.

Also, on the betting board are measures for Maine and New York, which you can find below.

If you are able to use this information, please consider citing the source.

Will Proposition 50 on California ballot pass? (Legislature-drawn congressional district map for 2026-2030)

Yes -225

No +160

(Note: Odds equate to a 69.2% implied probability measure will pass)

Will Question 2 on Maine ballot pass? (Restrict a person’s access to dangerous weapons, ERPO)

Yes +135

No -175

(Note: Odds equate to a 42.6% implied probability measure will pass)

Will Proposal 1 on New York ballot pass? (Allow park forest preserve acres for ski sports)

Yes -4000

No +1000

(Note: Odds equate to a 97.6% implied probability measure will pass)

Will Proposition 16 on Texas ballot pass? (Non-citizens voting rights)

Yes -5000

No +1200

(Note: Odds equate to a 98% implied probability measure will pass)

Will Proposition 2 on Texas ballot pass? (No capital gains tax)

Yes -1500

No +600

(Note: Odds equate to a 93.8% implied probability measure will pass)

- BetOnline Press 

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