Odds of South Korean President Being Impeached in 2024?

Written by:
Guest
Published on:
Dec/03/2024

Polymarket on Tuesday was quick to post odds related to the government upheaval in South Korea.

They released a betting market on the impeachment of President Yoon Suk Yeol.

Nearly $25,000 had been bet but 76% believed Yoon Suk Yeol would not longer serve as president of South Korea by the end of this month.  That number had dropped to 64%.

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Translation/번역 - beon-yeog

윤석열 대통령 탄핵 가능성이 제기됐다.

Polymarket yunseog-yeol daetonglyeong tanhaeg ganeungseong-i jegidwaessda.

거의 25,000달러가 베팅되었지만 76%는 윤석열이 이달 말까지 더 이상 대한민국 대통령직을 수행하지 못할 것이라고 믿었습니다.

geoui 25,000dalleoga betingdoeeossjiman 76%neun yunseog-yeol-i idal malkkaji deo isang daehanmingug daetonglyeongjig-eul suhaenghaji moshal geos-ilago mid-eossseubnida.  CLICK HERE FOR ODDS

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BetOnline was expected to release odds on the situation in South Korea shortly. 

Crisis in South Korea

The South Korean government early Wednesday lifted the martial law imposed by President Yoon Suk Yeol during a tense night of political drama in which troops surrounded parliament and lawmakers voted to reject military rule.

Police and military personnel were seen leaving the grounds of parliament following the bipartisan vote, and the declaration was formally lifted around 4:30 a.m. during a Cabinet meeting.

Yoon, who appeared likely to be impeached over his actions, imposed martial law late Tuesday, vowing to eliminate “anti-state” forces as he struggles against an opposition that controls parliament and that he accuses of sympathizing with communist North Korea.

Less than three hours later, parliament acted, with National Assembly Speaker Woo Won Shik declaring that the martial law was “invalid” and that lawmakers would “protect democracy with the people.”

Manifold South Korea President Impeachment Odds

It was news no one anticipated with the surprise announcement by South Korea’s president last night announcing emergency Martial Law to protect the country from North Korea. Tension between the neighbouring countries has risen over the past weeks with accusations of drones crossing the border and both countries restarting hostile measures such as loudspeaker propaganda. However, there hasn’t been any acute escalation making the president’s actions even more bewildering to onlookers.

Just hours after the president announced martial law, he decided to lift it. This followed backlash from protestors and a unanimous 190-0 vote by lawmakers present at a meeting called by the opposition party to block the president’s actions.

76 percent of those betting this market at Manifold believed President Yoon Suk Yeol would be impeached.

This story is developing rapidly.  Full coverage at Gambling911.com.

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