What Are the Odds of Biden Pardoning Trump?

Joe Biden pardoned one person close to him this weekend, but could he possibly hand his nemesis a get-outta-jail-free card before leaving office?

Slim chance, at least according to the bookmakers.

The below odds from BetOnline.ag imply a 6.3 percent chance that Biden will pardon Donald Trump in the next 50 or so days.

On the flip side, the chances that Trump will pardon a January 6 protestor before 2026 are 90.9 percent.

Ross Ulbricht is the only other person on the list below with favorable odds to be pardoned by Trump.

Oh, and how about Hunter Biden staying out of trouble? The odds suggest he'll be arrested again before Trump repeals the two-term presidential limit.

Will Joe Biden pardon Donald Trump?

Yes       15/1     (+1500)

No        1/50     (-5000)

 

What will happen first in 2025?

Hunter Biden arrested               1/2       (-200)

Trump repeals two-term limit    3/2       (+150)

 

Who will Donald Trump pardon before 2026? (Odds in order from most likely to least likely)

January 6th Protestor                1/10

Ross Ulbricht                            1/2

Steve Bannon                           2/1

Edward Snowden                      9/2

Julian Assange                          5/1

Eric Adams                                6/1

Himself                                     6/1

Robert Menendez                     10/1

Young Thug                              12/1

Matt Gaetz                               16/1

Sam Bankman-Fried                  16/1

Sean "Diddy" Combs                 33/1