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Will Pete Hegseth be confirmed by the Senate for Defense Secretary?
Yes 1/10 (-1000)
No 5/1 (+550)
These odds were available prior to Tuesday's Senate confirmation hearings.
President-elect Donald Trump’s choice for defense secretary vowed Tuesday to foster a “warrior culture” at the Pentagon and confronted allegations of sexual assault and excessive drinking and questions about his derisive views of women in combat.
Hegseth repeatedly deflected the various misconduct allegations and instead focused on his own combat experience in the Army National Guard as senators determine whether the combat veteran and former TV news show host is fit to lead the U.S. military.
“It’s time to give someone with dust on his boots the helm. A change agent,” Hegseth said in his opening remarks.
Senators spent hours probing the concerns surrounding Hegseth, with the Republican chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee acknowledging the “unconventional” choice.
The more than four-hour hearing launched a weeklong marathon as the Republican-led Senate is rushing to have some of Trump’s nominees ready to be confirmed as soon as Inauguration Day, Jan. 20.
More Confirmation Odds
Will Tulsi Gabbard be confirmed by the Senate for DNI?
Yes 2/9 (-450)
No 11/4 (+275)
(Odds imply an 82% probability Gabbard IS confirmed)
How many Senators will confirm Gabbard?
Over/Under 49.5
Will Robert Kennedy Jr. be confirmed by the Senate for Department of Health and Human Services?
Yes 1/6 (-600)
No 7/2 (+350)
(Odds imply an 86% probability Kennedy Jr. IS confirmed)
How many Senators will confirm RFK Jr.?
Over/Under 50.5
Trump cabinet odds are subject to change and will be updated in real-time
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