Trump Odds to Become the Next Pope Are Pretty Bleak

Written by:
Guest
Published on:
May/03/2025

On Friday, US President Donald Trump posted an AI-generated image of himself as the pope on Truth Social, and it has gone viral. 

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Less than a week prior to the post, Trump was in Rome attending the funeral for the late Pope Francis. As the Vatican searches for a new pontiff, it's probably fair to say that Trump is not on the list (not even on the oddsmakers list).

The next pope odds at BetUS have been so popular they were listing them directly beneath the Kentucky Derby odds Saturday, which appeared near the top of their home page just under odds boost, prop builders and same game parlays.

There is no clear cut favorite.

Luis Antonio Tagle and Pietro Parolin both come in at +150 odds to be named the next pope.

Tagle is a Filipino prelate of the Catholic Church currently serving as the Pro-Prefect for the Section of First Evangelization of the Dicastery for Evangelization since June 5, 2022, and as the President of Interdicasterial Commission for Consecrated Religious since December 8, 2019.

Parolin OMRI is an Italian Catholic prelate who has served as the Vatican's Secretary of State since 2013 and as a member of the Council of Cardinals since 2014, the same year he was made a cardinal.

Polymarket, which does not accept bets from the USA, has reported over $14 million in next pope bets since the death of Pope Francis. 

Next Pope Betting Odds 

All Odds Courtesy of BetUS

Rot     Who Will Be The Next Pope After Francis I?     MoneyLine
5201     Luis Antonio Tagle         +150
5202     Pietro Parolin         +150
5203     Peter Turkson         +400
5204     Robert Sarah         +800
5205     Matteo Zuppi         +600
5206     Peter Erdo         +800
5207     Pierbattista Pizzaballa         +700
5208     Fridolin Ambongo Besungu         +1400
5209     Kevin Farrell         +2200
5210     Jean-Marc Aveline         +1600
5211     Robert Prevost         +1600
5212     Francis Arinze         +2200
5213     Mario Grech         +1800
5214     Raymond Leo Burke         +2200
5215     Charles Maung Bo         +2200
5216     Mark Ouellet         +2500
5217     Mykola Bychok         +2200
5218     Reihard Marx         +2200
5219     Fernando Chomali Garib         +2200
5220     Cristóbal López Romero         +2000
5221     Angelo Scola         +3000
5222     Timothy Dolan         +2500
5223     Mauro Gambetti         +2800
5224     Jean-Claude Hollerich         +2800
5225     Thomas Aquino Manyo Maeda         +2800
5226     Caludio Gugerotti         +2800
5227     Joseph W. Tobin         +2800
5228     José Tolentino de Mendonça         +2800
5229     Timothy Radcliffe         +3000
5230     Orani João Tempesta         +2500
5231     Leopoldo Brenes         +2800
5232     Wim Eijk         +3000
5233     Anders Arborelius         +3500
5234     Gerald Cyprien LaCroix         +4000
5235     Giorgio Marengo         +4000
5236     Sean O'Malley         +3500
5237     Agostino Sandri         +4000
5238     Christoph Schönborn         +3000
5239     Malcolm Ranjith         +3500
5240     Óscar Andrés Rodríguez Maradiaga         +3500
5241     Piero Marini         +4000
5242     João Braz de Aviz         +4000
5243     Norberto Rivera Carrera         +4000
5244     Odilo Pedro Scherer         +4000
5245     Vincent Nichols         +5000
5246     Angelo Bagnasco         +5000
5247     Mauro Piacenza         +5000
5248     Konrad Krajewski         +4000
5249     Angelo De Donatis         +5000
5250     Antonio Cañizares Llovera         +5000
5251     Gerhard Ludwig Müller         +5000
5252     Gianfranco Ravasi         +5000
5253     Dominik Duka         +5000
5254     Wilton Daniel Gregory         +700
5255     Jaime Spengler         +5000
5256     Angel Artime         +5000
5257     Daniel Sturla         +5000
5258     Chibly Langlois         +5000
5259     Bechara Peter Rai         +5000
5260     Artur Roche         +5000
5261     Carlo Maria Vigano         +5000
5262     Italo Dell'Oro         +5000
5263     Blase J. Cupich         +5000
5264     François-Xavier Bustillo         +3000
5265     Luis Rafael I Sako         +3000
5266     Leonardo Sandri         +4000
5267     Diarmuid Martin         +4000
5268     Thomas Collins         +5000
5269     Vinko Puljic         +4000
5270     Wilfrid Napier         +4000
5271     William Goh Seng Chye         +5000
5272     Lazarus You Heung-sik         +2500
Which Cardenal or Archbishop will become Next Pope After Francis I. BetUS' decision is final. Wagers posted after public announcement will be void.
Rot     Will The Next Pope Be Black?     MoneyLine
5451     Yes         +400
Next Pope After Francis I. BetUS' decision is final. Wagers posted after public announcement will be void.
Rot     Conclave: Number Of Ballots     MoneyLine
5461     1-2         +1200
5462     3-4         +200
5463     5-6         +150
5464     7-8         +175
5465     9-10         +350
5466     More Than 10         +550

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