Tulsi Gabbard Confirmation Odds Have Betting Market Split

It's Confirmation Week with three of the most notable names hopeful to join Trump's administration lining up and lobbying for votes.


Robert Kennedy Jr. is set for voting on Wednesday, while Tulsi Gabbard and Kash Patel will have their confirmation hearings on Thursday.

BetOnline.ag has been offering Trump cabinet confirmation odds since mid-November, and below are the latest numbers as we look ahead to the week's proceedings.

All three candidates are favored to be confirmed, but Gabbard’s chances have slipped, as you can see from the timeline and probability notes.

Trump administration odds are subject to change.

Will Tulsi Gabbard be confirmed by the Senate?

Yes       2/5         (-250)

No        7/4         (+175)

(Odds were -450 on Jan. 13 so they have WORSENED. The current odds imply a 71% probability Gabbard is confirmed.)

How many Senators will confirm Gabbard?

Over/Under      50 Senators

Will Robert Kennedy Jr. be confirmed by the Senate?

Yes       1/6         (-600)

No        7/2         (+350)

(Odds remained unchanged since Jan. 13. Odds imply an 86% probability Kennedy Jr. is confirmed)

How many Senators will confirm Kennedy?

Over/Under      52 Senators

Will Kash Patel be confirmed by the Senate?

Yes       1/10       (-1000)

No        11/2       (+550)

(Odds were -600 on Jan. 13 so they have IMPROVED. The current odds imply a 91% probability Gabbard is confirmed.)

How many Senators will confirm Patel?

Over/Under      54 Senators