Odds Strongly Point to Senate, House GOP Control
(Panama City) - This week on KCMO Talk Radio (Kansas City), BetOnline.ag political analyst Paul Krishnamurty told host Pete Mundo that, based on the current odds, there's a 77% chance the GOP controls the Senate and a 97% chance it controls the House, following Tuesday's projected results.
"The trends have really been one-way for a couple of weeks in favor of the Republicans," Krishnamurty said on Mundo's morning show. "Earlier in the summer, and even as recent as a few weeks ago, the Democrats were favored to win the Senate. But a few key races have gone wrong for the Dems and now you have the Republicans with a 77% chance to control the Senate and they are 97% likely to win the House of Representatives.
"We have seen consistent money for months on the Republicans to win Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Arizona. It's really been one-way traffic and if you compare that to the pollsters, the gamblers have been ahead of the market...they've beaten the trends. Months ago, the odds on all of these Republicans were much, much higher."
Krishnamurty noted that people can still wager on the Democrats at underdog odds of +225 to win the Senate and +1100 odds to take the House. You can listen to the full, five-minute interview here: https://omny.fm/shows/pete-mundo-kcmo-talk-radio-103-7fm-710am/11-3-paul-krishnamurty-political-betting-analyst.
In a gestful move leading up to Kansas City's local elections, Mundo wagered that he'll run around a block of Kansas City naked should Sharice Davids defeat Amanda Adkins by a 10% margin or higher in Kansas' 3rd Congressional District HOR election. Krishnamurty set the odds on that happening at Yes +200, No -300, so it's unlikely we'll see Mundo streaking the streets of K.C.
Additionally, below are some of the key overnight changes from BetOnline.ag in terms of the midterm elections.
SENATE CONTROL
REPUBLICANS -350 (FROM -300)
DEMOCRATS +225 (FROM +200)
NEVADA SENATE
LAXALT -400 (FROM -300)
CORTEZ-MASTO +250 (FROM +200)
NEW HAMPSHIRE SENATE
HASSAN -200 (FROM -275)
BOLDUC +150 (FROM +185)
FLORIDA – RUBIO VICTORY MARGIN
OVER/UNDER 10.5% (-120 EACH); (WAS 9.5%)
AZ-02
CRANE (R) -700 (FROM -400)
O’HALLORAN (D) +400 (FROM +250)
TX-15
DE LA CRUZ (R) -275 (FROM -200)
VALLEJO (D) +185 (FROM +150)
IO-03
NUNN (R) -700 (FROM -400)
AXNE (D) +400 (FROM +250)
OR-05
CHAVEZ-DERAMA (R) -250 (FROM -220)
MCLEOD-SKINNER (D) +170 (FROM +160)
KS-03
DAVIDS (D) -350 (FROM -600)
ADKINS (R) +225 (FROM -350)
NY-19
MOLINARO (R) -150 (FROM -135)
RILEY (D) +110 (FROM -105)
IL-17
SORENSEN (D) -130 (FROM -150)
KING (R) -110 FROM +110
CO-08
KIRKMEYER (R) -1500 (FROM -800)
CARAVAO (D) +600 (FROM +350)
MI-03
GIBBS (R) -180 (FROM -165)
SCHOLTEN (D) +140 (FROM +125)
GA SENATE
WALKER (R) -200 FROM -160
NH SENATE
BOLDUC (R) +180 FROM +200
WI GOVERNOR
MICHELS (R) -300 FROM -260
PA GOVERNOR
SHAPIRO (D) -1500 FROM -900
MN GOVERNOR
WALZ (D) -700 FROM -550
NV GOVERNOR
LOMBARDO (R) -600 FROM -450
GA GOVERNOR
KEMP (R) -3000 FROM -2500
PA-07
SCHELLER (R) -250)FROM -180
IL-17
JOY (R) -130 FROM -110
