Senate Odds for 35 Races Ahead of Midterms

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Senate Odds for 35 Races Ahead of Midterms

Betonline released odds for 58 midterm House elections on Monday October 5, and today (October 6) they have more than 30 updates for the Senate races (odds courtesy of BetOnline).

No Senate race has more eyes on it than the one down in Texas where James Talarico is building a lead against Ken Paxton, at least according to Vegas’ numbers.

Talarico's odds have increased to -200 over the last couple of weeks, which translates to a 66.7% implied probability of victory.

Below, you'll find names and odds for 35 Senate elections ahead of the midterms. There are also some MOV (margin of victory) projections for the lopsided races.

Midterm Results Odds

  • Democrats win Senate: -225
  • Republicans win Senate: +185
  • Democrats win House: -2000
  • Republicans win House: +1000
  • Democrats win House and Senate: -210
  • Democrats win House, Republicans win Senate: +185
  • Republicans win House and Senate: +1000
  • Republicans win House, Democrats win Senate: +6500
StateCandidateOdds
AlabamaBarry Moore (R)-5000
Everett Weiss (D)+1600
(Moore victory margin over/under is 14.5%)
AlaskaDan Sullivan (R)+240
Mary Peltola (D)-300
ArkansasTom Cotton (R)-2500
Hallie Schoffner (D)+1200
(Cotton victory margin over/under is 15.5%)
ColoradoMark Baisley (R)+2500
John Hickenlooper (D)-10000
(Hickenlooper victory margin over/under is 21.5%)
DelawareMichael Katz (R)+5000
Chris Coons (D)-20000
(Coons victory margin over/under is 28.5%)
Florida (Special)Ashley Moody (R)-1500
Angie Nixon (D)+750
(Moody victory margin over/under is 7.5%)
GeorgiaMike Collins (R)+1200
Jon Ossoff (D)-2500
(Ossoff victory margin over/under is 10.5%)
IdahoJim Risch (R)-1800
Todd Achilles (I)+900
David Roth (D)+10000
(Risch victory margin over/under is 18.5%)
IllinoisDon Tracy (R)+4000
Juliana Stratton (D)-20000
(Stratton victory margin over/under is 22.5%)
IowaAshley Hinson (R)-130
Josh Turek (D)+100
KansasRoger Marshall (R)-225
Adam Hamilton (D)+185
KentuckyAndy Barr (R)-4000
Charles Booker (D)+1500
(Barr victory margin over/under is 20.5%)
LouisianaJulia Letlow (R)-4000
Jamie Davis (D)+1500
MaineSusan Collins (R)+100
Troy Jackson (D)-130
MassachusettsJohn Deaton (R)+2500
Ed Markey (D)-10000
(Markey victory margin over/under is 30.5%)
MichiganMike Rogers (R)+275
Abdul El-Sayed (M)-350
MinnesotaMichele Tafoya (R)+750
Peggy Flanagan (D)-1500
(Flanagan victory margin over/under is 6.5%)
MississippiCindy Hyde-Smith (R)-1800
Scott Colom (D)+900
Ty Pinkins (I)+20000
(Hyde-Smith victory margin over/under is 11.5%)
MontanaKurt Alme (R)-1200
Seth Bodnar (I)+800
Alani Bankhead (D)+2500
NebraskaPete Ricketts (R)-300
Dan Osborn (I)+240
New HampshireJohn Sununu (R)+550
Chris Pappas (D)-800
(Pappas victory margin over/under is 8.5%)
New JerseyJustin Murphy (R)+2000
Cory Booker (D)-7500
(Booker victory margin over/under is 24.5%)
New MexicoLarry Marker (R)+2000
Ben Ray Lujan (D)-10000
(Lujan victory margin over/under is 19.5%)
North CarolinaMichael Whatley (R)+1200
Roy Cooper (D)-2500
Ohio (Special)Jon Husted (R)+160
Sherrod Brown (D)-200
OklahomaKevin Hern (R)-5000
N'kiyla Jasmine Thomas (D)+1600
(Hern victory margin over/under is 23.5%)
OregonDavid Brock Smith (R)+1600
Jeff Merkley (D)-5000
(Merkley victory margin over/under is 23.5%)
Rhode IslandRaymond McKay (R)+1600
Jack Reed (D)-5000
(Reed victory margin over/under is 30.5%)
South CarolinaDarline Graham (R)-800
Annie Andrews (D)+550
(Graham victory margin over/under is 5.5%)
South DakotaMike Rounds (R)-2500
Brian Bengs (I)+1200
(Rounds victory margin over/under is 17.5%)
TennesseeBill Hagerty (R)-10000
Marquita Bradshaw (D)+2500
(Hagerty victory margin over/under is 24.5%)
TexasKen Paxton (R)+160
James Talarico (D)-200
VirginiaBert Mizusawa (R)+2500
Mark Warner (D)-10000
(Warner victory margin over/under is 21.5%)
West VirginiaShelley Moore Capito (R)-10000
Rachel Fetty Anderson (D)+2500
(Capito victory margin over/under is 32.5%)
WyomingHarriet Hageman (R)-10000
James W. Byrd (D)+2500
(Hageman victory margin over/under is 33.5%)

 

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