Should I Bet the Texas Longhorns This Week?

The Texas Longhorns had fallen out of the Rankings following an October 22 loss to Oklahoma State.  They were favored to win 8.5 regular season games in 2022. 

@ Oklahoma State Cowboys October 22

Spencer Sanders passed for two touchdowns and ran for 43 yards on 11 carries and helped his Cowboys beat the Longhorns.

Texas though remained in the No. 11 spot in the Sagarin Ratings with an 86.21 despite now having three losses this season.

They'll head to Kansas State November 5 not rated while the Wildcats will be ranked No. 22.

Texas Longhorns 2022 Schedule

Sept 3 ULM

Sept 10 Alabama

Sept 17 UTSA

Sept 24 at Texas Tech

Oct 1 West Virginia

Oct 8 Oklahoma (in Dallas)

Oct 15 Iowa State

Oct 22 at Oklahoma State

Oct 29 OPEN DATE

Nov 5 at Kansas State

Nov 12 TCU

Nov 19 at Kansas

Nov 26 Baylor

vs. Iowa State Cyclones October 16

Texas was No. 4 on the Sagarin Ratings with a number of 88.88.  They were ranked No. 20 in the nation coming into this week. 

With home field advantage (2.10 this week), the number would become 90.98. 

Iowa State had a number of 79.75. 

This gave us a line of Texas 11.23.  The actual line was -14.5 to as high as -17 and back down to -15.5, representing an Underlay of 3 to 5.5 points. 

The Longhorns rallied to win 24-21 but failed to cover the spread.

Quinn Ewers threw for three touchdowns, including a 3-yard pass to Xavier Worthy that put Texas up for good with 4:43 remaining.

October 8 vs. Oklahoma Sooners (in Dallas)

The line was moving from Texas -5.5 to -8. Texas covered the spread with a huge win.  At -5.5 the line was on the money, but became a 2 point overlay once moving to the 8.

We saw a similar result with Arkansas +6.5 to +8 vs. Mississippi State whereby the Bulldogs covered and won big.  This game featured an underlay of 2 to 3.5 points.

October 1 vs. West Virginia

West Virginia +10 to +7.5 vs. Texas.  The Longhorns covered the spread and won by 18.  We got a final line of Texas 7.86 for this game.  At -10, there was an overlay of 2.  At +7.5, this one was on the Money.

September 24 @Texas Tech

Texas was the -5 to -7 road faovirte versus Texas Tech but the home dog Red Raiders not only covered the spread but won outright by 3 points.  With a number we got of 7.2, the one was mostly on the money from Tuesday onward.

This article was originally published October 15, 2022 and updated on October 27, 2022

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com