Written by :
Published on :
The Premier League sack race is one of football’s most unpredictable betting markets.
Odds on the next manager to be sacked can swing overnight, with poor results, fan pressure, and boardroom decisions all playing a part.
For bettors, it’s a fast-moving market that delivers as much drama as the action on the pitch.
The Sack Race: Next Premier League Manager To Leave Betting Odds
Compare the best odds for the next Premier League manager to be sacked or leave their post below.
| Manager (Club) | BetVictor | Parimatch | talkSPORT BET | Betano | William Hill |
| Graham Potter (West Ham) | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/10 |
| Ruben Amorim (Man United) | 8/1 | 8/1 | 8/1 | 8/1 | 15/2 |
| Unai Emery (Aston Villa) | 8/1 | 8/1 | 8/1 | 8/1 | 10/1 |
| Vitor Pereira (Wolves) | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 9/1 |
| Ange Postecoglou (Nott. Forest) | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 11/1 |
| Daniel Farke (Leeds) | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 20/1 |
| Enzo Maresca (Chelsea) | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 28/1 |
| Fabian Hurzeler (Brighton) | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 28/1 |
| Pep Guardiola (Man City) | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 |
| Keith Andrews (Brentford) | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 20/1 |
| Marco Silva (Fulham) | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 |
| Oliver Glasner (Crystal Palace) | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 25/1 |
| Scott Parker (Burnley) | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 25/1 |
| Eddie Howe (Newcastle) | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 |
| Regis Le Bris (Sunderland) | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 |
| David Moyes (Everton) | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 |
| Andoni Iraola (Bournemouth) | 66/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 |
| Mikel Arteta (Arsenal) | 66/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 | 50/1 |
| Thomas Frank (Spurs) | 66/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 |
| Arne Slot (Liverpool) | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 |
| No Manager to Leave | – | – | – | – | 200/1 |
Leading candidates to be sacked next
Bookmakers have singled out a handful of managers under the most pressure in the Premier League sack race. The current market shows:
- Graham Potter (West Ham) – 2/5 with BetVictor
- Ruben Amorim (Man United) – 8/1 with BetVictor
- Unai Emery (Aston Villa) – 10/1 with William Hill
- Vitor Pereira (Wolves) – 12/1 with BetVictor
- Ange Postecoglou (Nottingham Forest) – 16/1 with BetVictor
Sack race probabilities
By converting betting odds into percentages, we can estimate each manager’s implied chance of being the next to go. Converting odds into probabilities can help bettors stay more disciplined over time. Rather than reacting to every shift in the market, many experienced players take a more structured approach focused on long-term consistency. This often includes setting clear limits, planning wagers in advance, and being mindful of how they handle borrowing by reviewing their options in advance so they don’t make impulsive decisions as odds change throughout the season.
| Manager | Odds | Probability |
| Graham Potter (West Ham) | 2/5 | 71.43% |
| Ruben Amorim (Man United) | 8/1 | 11.11% |
| Unai Emery (Aston Villa) | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| Vitor Pereira (Wolves) | 12/1 | 7.69% |
| Ange Postecoglou (Nott. Forest) | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| Daniel Farke (Leeds) | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Enzo Maresca (Chelsea) | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Fabian Hurzeler (Brighton) | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Pep Guardiola (Man City) | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Keith Andrews (Brentford) | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Marco Silva (Fulham) | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Oliver Glasner (Crystal Palace) | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Scott Parker (Burnley) | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Eddie Howe (Newcastle) | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Regis Le Bris (Sunderland) | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| David Moyes (Everton) | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Andoni Iraola (Bournemouth) | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Mikel Arteta (Arsenal) | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Thomas Frank (Spurs) | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Arne Slot (Liverpool) | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| No manager to leave | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Current favourite
As of 26 September 2025, Graham Potter (West Ham) is the clear favourite to be the next Premier League manager sacked. His odds of 2/5 with BetVictor translate to a 71.43% chance of leaving his post before any other manager.
Sack race: context on the frontrunners
Prices move fast in this market. Here is why the top names are under pressure right now. Odds refer to the “best price” shown above and are correct as of 26 September 2025, according to FindMyCasino.
Graham Potter (West Ham) – 2/5
Results have dipped and confidence looks fragile. West Ham are conceding soft goals and set pieces remain a concern. The fixture run is tricky, so short odds reflect risk plus board and fan pressure.
Ruben Amorim (Man United) – 8/1
Performances swing from solid to shaky within a week. United still search for a clear style and clean sheets. A tough schedule could shorten these odds if the slide continues.
Vitor Pereira (Wolves) – 12/1
Wolves create spells of pressure but struggle to turn chances into wins. A slow start mixed with thin squad depth keeps him high in the market. A couple of poor results would bring a sharp odds cut.
Unai Emery (Aston Villa) – 10/1
Expectations are high after heavy investment. Flat attacking output and early cup stumbles add noise. Emery’s stature buys time, but ambitions at Villa Park mean scrutiny will stay intense.
Ange Postecoglou (Nottingham Forest) – 16/1
High-risk football can thrill or unravel. Defensive transitions and set piece defending need quick fixes. If Forest hit a bad run, sentiment can turn fast and the price will react.
- Alistair Prescott, Gambling911.com
