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Gambling911.com has your Athletics vs. Red Sox series betting pick and DFS plays for Monday May 10.
Series: Athletics vs. Red Sox
A’s starting pitcher Scott Kazmir hadn’t allowed more than 6 hits and 3 runs to be scored in his first five starts. He’s coming off a rough outing against Minnesota in which he uncharacteristically permitted 6 runs in six innings. The Oakland relievers helped put the nail in the coffin with another 7 runs allowed in a Twins 13-0 shutout.
Assuming Kazmir is on top of his game today, we need him to get through 8 innings if possible. Since Kazmir’s April 19 start, the A’s relievers have allowed at least two additional runs in his last four starts.
If history is any indication, Kazmir could be in for another rough outing on Monday as he has allowed 34-for-114 at bats (13 of which were extra base hits) vs. Boston’s current roster. He’s just shy of a .300 ERA when facing the Red Sox.
That said, he only permitted two runs on four hits in his lone start against Boston last season and three runs on five hits the year prior, so there is plenty of conflict with these numbers. The most recent poor performance we suspect will have Kazmir on a mission.
Dustin Pedroia, who has gone 19-for-38 against Kazmir with a .500 ERA, will come into this game having hit in nine of his last ten games, homering only once. In eight of those games he had just a single hit and is currently sitting at a .277 ERA.
t’s interesting to note that 29 hits of the 34 at bats have been made by Pedroia and David Ortiz, who also has 8 RBIs against Kazmir. Ortiz is batting at .235 currently and, despite his impressive looking number of hits versus the A’s starter, he’s only registered a .208 average against him to date.
Rick Porcello is coming off his third win of the season while Boston has been victorious in four of his last six starts.
Even though he permitted 8 hits in his last start, he gave up zero runs to Tampa Bay. He’s allowed four or more runs in half his starts.
Porcello has had an equally impressive record in recent starts against Oakland, allowing zero runs on four hits back on July 1 of last year and just one hit during the 2013 post season.
It will cost you $7800 to have Porcello on your lineup today compared to the high $9500+ price you will be paying for Kazmir. The concern is that Porcello has had two straight solid performances and we here at DFS911.com fear a letdown of sorts. We also need to caution that Porcello has had trouble pitching against left-handers and Oakland does have a few solid lefties.
Scott Kazmir looks like a better option under these circumstances.
Billy Butler and Josh Reddick are both averaging over .300 against Porcello.
2nd Base:
Dustin Pedroia – The Red Sox 2nd baseman is priced around and, despite his .500 ERA vs. Scott Kazmir, should get only mild consideration this day. He comes in priced at $2900.
Right Fielder:
Josh Reddick – He is 2-for-6 against Porcello and playing well of late.
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
