Baseball Betting Lines, Picks: Pirates 1-5 vs. Reds When Liriano Starts
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Here are today’s power trends:
Mike Leake of Cincinnati is 6-3 when starting against Pittsburgh with an ERA of 3.81 and a WHIP of 1.269 while Francisco Liriano is 1-4 when starting against Cincinnati with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.070. His team is 1-5 during his starts vs. Cincy. We would be remiss to point out that Cincinnati is 2-6 in Leake's last 8 road starts vs. Pittsburgh at home, something to keep in the back of your minds.
The Reds are 2-1 so far against Pittsburgh this season.
While both clubs have nearly identical records, Cincinnati has won 5 of their last 6 games overall while Pittsburgh is just 2-8 in their last ten games overall.
The Reds are 8-3 in Leake's last 11 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150 and 10-4 in his last 14 starts vs. National League Central.
Liriano is a solid pitcher so we are getting the Reds at +128 for today’s pick.
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30% at 3X roll |
60% at 6X roll |
90% at 9X roll |
120% at 12X roll |
40% at 4X roll |
70% at 7X roll |
100% at 10X roll |
130% at 13X roll |
50% at 5X roll |
80% at 8X roll |
110% at 11X roll |
140% at 14X roll |
150% at 15X roll |
200% at 20X roll |
Other trends of note:
The Mets are 9-26 as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
Atlanta's Julio Teheran is 8-0 in April games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and he is 3-0 when starting against Miami with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.263. But he is also a -177 favorite. Ouch.
Colorado's Jorge De La Rosa is 13-2 in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record). He is 8-5 when starting against San Francisco with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.224. His team's record during these starts is 12-5.
The one problem: Ryan Vogelsong is a very impressive 5-1 when starting against Colorado with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.000.
Kansas City’s Jeremy Guthrie is 10-2 in April games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record).
He is 4-3 when starting against Cleveland with an ERA of 4.41 and a WHIP of 1.275.
Yu Darvish may be 13-1 in April games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) but he's also 1-6 when starting against Oakland with an ERA of 4.30 and a WHIP of 1.318 whereas Daniel Straily is 3-1 vs.Texas with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.140.
Oakland is a +107 underdog here yet they have won four straight games against Texas.
The Rangers are 6-0 in Darvish's last 6 starts but are 2-9 in Darvish's last 11 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. They are also 1-4 in Darvishs last 5 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150.
The Athletics are 8-2 in Straily's last 10 starts with 5 days of rest, 10-3 in Strailys last 13 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game and 7-3 in Strailys last 10 starts.
Oakland +107 is our second pick of the day.
MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL - Apr 21 |
|||||||
NATIONAL LEAGUE |
|||||||
Apr 21 |
951 |
CIN REDS |
M LEAKE -R |
+128 |
o7-125 |
+1½-183 |
|
7:05 PM |
952 |
PIT PIRATES |
F LIRIANO -L |
-138 |
u7+105 |
-1½+163 |
|
Apr 21 |
953 |
STL CARDINALS |
T LYONS -L |
-112 |
o7½+105 |
-1½+150 |
|
7:10 PM |
954 |
NYM METS |
J MEJIA -R |
+102 |
u7½-125 |
+1½-170 |
|
Apr 21 |
955 |
MIA MARLINS |
T KOEHLER -R |
+167 |
o7-130 |
+1½-135 |
|
7:10 PM |
956 |
ATL BRAVES |
J TEHERAN -R |
-177 |
u7+110 |
-1½+115 |
|
Apr 21 |
957 |
ARI D`BACKS |
B ARROYO -R |
+113 |
o8½-120 |
+1½-210 |
|
8:05 PM |
958 |
CHI CUBS |
T WOOD -L |
-123 |
u8½EV |
-1½+175 |
|
Apr 21 |
959 |
SDG PADRES |
A CASHNER -R |
-102 |
o8-105 |
+1½-220 |
|
8:10 PM |
960 |
MIL BREWERS |
W PERALTA -R |
-108 |
u8-115 |
-1½+180 |
|
Apr 21 |
961 |
SFO GIANTS |
R VOGELSON-R |
+115 |
o10½-110 |
+1½-183 |
|
8:40 PM |
962 |
COL ROCKIES |
DE LA ROSA-L |
-125 |
u10½-110 |
-1½+163 |
|
Apr 21 |
963 |
PHI PHILLIES |
C LEE -L |
EV |
o7EV |
+1½-230 |
|
10:10 PM |
964 |
LOS DODGERS |
P MAHOLM -L |
-110 |
u7-120 |
-1½+180 |
|
AMERICAN LEAGUE |
|||||||
Apr 21 |
967 |
CHI WHITE SOX |
J DANKS -L |
+182 |
o8½-125 |
+1½-125 |
|
7:05 PM |
968 |
DET TIGERS |
A SANCHEZ -R |
-195 |
u8½+105 |
-1½+105 |
|
Apr 21 |
969 |
KAN ROYALS |
J GUTHRIE -R |
+144 |
o8½-115 |
+1½-155 |
|
7:05 PM |
970 |
CLE INDIANS |
Z MCALLIST-R |
-154 |
u8½-105 |
-1½+135 |
|
Apr 21 |
971 |
TEX RANGERS |
Y DARVISH -R |
-115 |
o6½-105 |
-1½+150 |
|
10:05 PM |
972 |
OAK ATHLETICS |
D STRAILY -R |
+105 |
u6½-115 |
+1½-170 |
|
Apr 21 |
973 |
HOU ASTROS |
D KEUCHEL -L |
+232 |
o6½-105 |
+1½-105 |
|
10:10 PM |
974 |
SEA MARINERS |
F HERNANDZ-R |
-257 |
u6½-115 |
-1½-115 |
|
Apr 21 |
975 |
LAA ANGELS |
G RICHARDS-R |
+102 |
o8+105 |
+1½-230 |
|
7:05 PM |
976 |
WAS NATIONALS |
T ROARK -R |
-112 |
u8-125 |
-1½+180 |
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com