Written by :
Published on :
You can bet the Rays-Red Sox series Monday through Wednesday with an opener that features lines of -210 Boston, +194 Tampa and a total of 9.
Rick Porcello surrendered three runs on nine hits while striking out eight over 7.2 innings, but didn't factor in the decision in Wednesday's 4-3 extra-inning loss to Tampa Bay. He will likely want to exact revenge at home Monday.
Porcello has not allowed more than three runs in each of his last six starts while pitching deep in all of those games.
Boston is also 6-2 in Porcello’s last 8 starts vs. Tampa Bay.
Porcello has permitted 45 hits on 171 at bats versus this current Rays roster with just three homers scored over this time frame.
Evan Longoria’s solo home run to tie the game led to the no-decision against Tampa his last start, denying Porcello his 18th win of the season. He didn't walk a single batter.
The Rays are 5-15 in their last 20 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Matt Andriese ailed to make it out of the sixth inning in his previous four outings since rejoining the Rays' rotation after the trade deadline, posting a 6.84 ERA and 6.02 FIP over that span. Still, he pitched much better his last start and this is a guy who began the season 6-0. He allowed three runs versus the Red Sox the other night. Even during these last four starts, three of those games have ended with nine or fewer total runs scored.
The Red Sox are just 3-8 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
The UNDER is 28-13 in the last 41 meetings in Boston. Seven of the last ten games in this series overall have gone UNDER the current total of 9.
The UNDER is 11-3 in Red Sox last 14 vs. American League East.
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
