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Folks we have a hot one here with the Browns vs. Bengals TNF betting line coming in at Cincinnati -6. The oddsmakers are doing little to get action on the Browns despite Cincinnati getting more than 75% of the action. Our free pick is on the Cleveland Browns +6.5. We are seeing a few books move up a half point. BetOnline is one of those books.
The home team has won 8 of the last 10 in this series, however, Cleveland has won 7 of the last 10 Against The Spread with another of those ten games being a push.
One of the reasons the public is all over Cincinnati is their outstanding ATS record at home: 14-3-1 over their last eighteen.
On the fantasy front we get a feel for why Cleveland can at least cover in this game, and it’s not so much about standout Browns fantasy players as it is about the Bengals potentially struggling against them.
As an example, ESPN.com notes that the Browns have tied for the fifth fewest passing touchdowns allowed this season (12) despite only 11 teams having had more pass attempts against them than the 300 they've defended.
Looking at the Bengals starting quarterback Andy Dalton and his meager eight TDs in recent games, it’s easy to see how he might struggle despite having A.J. Green back in the mix.
Bengals running back Jeremy Hill is still a good pick for Thursday as he’ll be going up against a Browns 30th-ranked run defense.
Where the wide receivers are concerned, the Browns have allowed just two touchdowns to tight ends on the season so someone like a Jermaine Gresham with the Bengals won’t make a good fantasy prospect.
- Ean Lamb, Gambling911.com
