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Alert: Gambling911.com has released its FREE PICK on this game (below). The Colts-Browns point spread had Indianapolis as a -3 to -3.5 favorite across the board. BetPhoenix.ag had the number at -3.5. 80% of those betting this game were backing the Colts.
Indianapolis beat Cleveland by four points at home in 2012 the last time these two teams met. Andrew Luck is 6-0 vs. teams under the .500 mark this season but is 2-4 vs. those with winning records.
The Browns will stick with Brian Hoyer as starting quarterback but he can’t be made to shoulder all the blame for Cleveland’s most recent losses (two out of the last three and one come-from-behind win in the final seconds against Atlanta). Hoyer’s receivers have been targeted a total of 41 times and they have failed to deliver.
Speaking of Hoyer, on paper at least it appears he’s going to have a good day against a Colts defense that gave up nearly 400 passing yards to Colt McCoy last week.
Cleveland allows the fourth fewest fantasy points to opposing QBs this season and Luck will be playing in temperatures hovering around 38 degrees but with winds between 10 and 20 miles per hour, making it feel quite a bit colder.
Now for the good stuff, Gambling911.com’s free pick for this game. Our NFL record since Week 7 is 14-3. Alas we like Cleveland +3.5.
Despite 80% of the bets coming in on Indianapolis and the Colts seeing the most volume of any side this weekend, some books have opted to bring the line down to -3. Checking out the fantasy breakdown for this game, our confidence in this pick increases and we’ll be betting the Browns +3.5 at BetPhoenix.ag here. Most of you will be able to claim your FREE CASH bonus.
Injury Update: The Browns have cleared all their probables for the Sunday game against Indianapolis. That group includes linebacker Barkevious Mingo (shoulder) and Paul Kruger (illness), as well as center Nick McDonald ankle/knee).
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
