FSU Seminoles Line Pushed Down From -57 to -56 Against Idaho
The FSU line has been driven down a whole point but this is still one of the biggest numbers we have ever seen here at Gambling911.com: 56 is the price and, remarkably, people are backing the Seminoles at a 78 percent clip at WagerWeb.com. Be advised that this line has moved back to -57 as of Friday
In case you were wondering, the total for this game was set at 69. This is important to note since a vast majority of this weekend’s totals are actually coming in lower than the line on this game.
Heisman Trophy candidate, QB Jameis Winston, may be sitting out half this game depending on the score separation so Gambling911.com advises to be careful when considering the 56-point spread. Nevertheless, FSU has beaten two straight opponents by more than 56 points. With the Idaho Vandals the worst team Florida State will be facing this season, logic dictates an even greater margin of victory. But the Noles will be facing the Gators next week so it is easy to overlook Idaho here.
As a favorite of 31 or more points, Florida State has gone 4-1 Against The Spread this season and 5-4 ATS over the past three years. Idaho is 0-2 ATS as an underdog of 31 or more points this season.
We know FSU is going to win it but they simply won’t have much of an incentive to win by more than 56 points. So unless the Vandals lay dead across the field (and, yes, we know they have played that way much of the season) we would anticipate the underdogs covering this spread.
Scroll Down for Latest Lines And Additional Stats….
*Additional Trends: Updated November 22, 2013
The Vandals are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
The Vandals are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
The Seminoles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
There is no edge given to either team in terms of public line movement as seen here:
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in IDAHO games 48.4% of the time since 1992. (75-80)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in IDAHO games 53.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-13)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 54.9% of the time since 1992. (134-110)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 53.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-15)
This week’s lines….
Wed - Northern Illinois -3 Toledo
Thur - Rutgers +17 UCF
Noon EDT – Citadel (TBA) Clemson
Noon – MSU -7.5 Northwestern
2 pm - Chattanooga (TBA) Alabama
3:30 – Texas +4 A&M LSU
3:30 – Idaho +57 FSU WOW!!!
3:30 – Wisconsin -15 Minnesota
3:30 – Indiana +34 OSU
3:30 – Oregon -20.5 Arizona
4 – New Mexico +7 Fresno State
7 – Arizona State -2.5 UCLA
7:45 – Mizzou -3 Ole Miss
8 – Baylor -9.5 Oklahoma State
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
