Major League Baseball Free Picks, Predictions, DFS Plays – April 30
Gambling911.com has your Major League Baseball free picks and predictions for April 29 below.
Reds/Braves OVER 7 (BetDSI.com) – Four of six games in this series played in Atlanta have gone UNDER 7.5 but the OVER in Atlanta overall the last 11 home games is 10-1.
Reds RH Mike Leake (0-1, 3.90 ERA) has pitched at least seven innings in three straight outings but also has surrendered five home runs during that stretch. Three of the first four games Leake started in this season have gone OVER 8.5.
The OVER is 10-1-1 in Leake’s last 12 Thursday starts and 7-2 overall. The OVERis 4-0 in the Braves last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Kelly Johnson, while he has an ERA under .300 for the month of April, has gone 5-for-13 against Leake with 2 RBIs and a homer.
Chris Johnson is 5-for-19 against Leake with 3 RBIs and has a .286 ERA during the month of April.
Andrelton Simmons is 5-for-10 against Leake with a double.
Brandon Phillips is 6-for-17 against Shelby Miller with one homerun though Miller has really held his own against this Reds roster, making Atlanta very fantasy unfriendly today.
Books are encouraging the public to go UNDER here. After opening at 7, the total is now trending towards 7.5. We won’t take that bait.
White Sox vs. Twins OVER 7 - Eight of the last ten games in this series have gone OVER 7.5. The OVER is 9-2 in the last 11 games of this series. The OVER is 21-6-1 in the Twins last 28 home games.
The OVER is 10-2 in Twins RH Trevor May’s (1-1, 4.91) last 12 starts overall.
Jose Abreu went 3-for-6 against May.
Mariners vs. Astros OVER 8.5 - Houston has won four of the last give in this series though Seattle is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in Houston. The last three games in this series played in Houston have gone OVER 10. The OVER is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Houston. Five of the last six games in this series have gone OVER 8.5.
Mariners LH James Paxton (0-2, 6.86 ERA) has pitched a total of 7 1/3 innings over his last two outings while allowing four homers in 19 2/3 frames. He’s never faced the Astros, who are red hot right now.
Astros RH Scott Feldman (2-2, 4.81) is 5-6 with a 4.34 ERA in 27 career appearances (13 starts) against Seattle.
