Written by :
Published on :
Gambling911.com has released its free pick on the Packers vs. Bills game. All Week 15 lines can be viewed in real time here but the number is trending downwards.
Gambling911.com has gone 16-3 with its free NFL picks since Week 7 (all documented here). Most of these plays have been underdogs.
Today we are all over another big underdog, the Bills at +4.5, and we are not afraid to take the lower number as some of you may have been able to get Buffalo when they were at +5.5. Some books were down to -4.
At some books Green Bay is the most wagered on side Sunday. The public is pounding the Packers. But alas the books are moving the line downwards in an effort to get even more money on Green Bay. This tells us they have a very strong opinion on Buffalo covering here.
The lines below were available at MyBookie.ag as of 4 pm EST. Scroll down for some more important information pertaining to this Packers vs. Bills free pick.
Find More Lines Here - Bonus Code is G911
What else do we love about this pick besides the line movement analysis?
Home team is 4-0 Against The Spread in their last 4 meetings and, while both teams dynamics have changed since pre-2010 when Buffalo and Green Bay last met, the Buffalo fans are as rowdy and more supportive than ever with their team winning for the first time in ages.
The Packers are 3-3 on the road this season. In other words, this is a .500 team away from Green Bay where they have a perfect record on the season.
A Fantasy breakdown of this matchup offers even further enlightenment.
Aaron Rodgers will face a Bills team that has permitted the second-fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks while Green Bay has had an especially tough time at stopping the run this season (ranking 25th in run defense and 27th in yards per carry.
Oh yeah and then there’s Packers stud Jordy Nelson, who has accumulated a total of 8 fantasy points over his last two road games. Compared to 32 fantasy points over the past two games played at home.
Again, we really like Buffalo here and hope to maintain or improve upon our near 85% record since Week 7.
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
