Why Bet the Orioles-Red Sox Game 3 Over: Like Stealing Candy From a Baby

Submitted by Dan Shapiro on

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Dan Shapiro

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We alluded to this in today’s Daily Fantasy MLB profiles for both starters – Ubaldo Jiminez for Baltimore and Joe Kelly for Boston – that neither pitcher has been particularly good against the other side’s hitters and those batters – especially on the Orioles side – have been absolutely on fire to start off 2015. 

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We here at Gambling911.com are loving the OVER 8.5. 

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Baltimore, which was shut out in their last three games of last season versus Boston and only scored a single run the game prior, has managed to tally up eight runs each in their first two games of this series. They have scored five or more runs in their last four games overall. 

Boston, meanwhile, has scored six or more runs in six of their last seven games to start the new season.

The OVER has occurred in nine of Kelly’s last ten starts and all eight of his recent home starts.  The OVER is also 8-1 in Kelly’s last 9 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

The OVER is 7-2-1 in Orioles last 10 vs. American League East and 7-2 in Jimenez’s last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.

OVER 8.5 here is like stealing candy from a baby in our opinion.

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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