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The folks at BetUS.com are predicting victory for the Denver Broncos this coming Sunday, albeit by the narrowest of margins.
They don't have a whole lot to work with since Denver comes into this one as the -3 home favorite.
Charles Jay, Analyst for BetUS.com, says:
"I like the Under first and foremost in this contest BetUS NFL sports betting members. The Broncos haven't scored over 19 points in any of their last f our games and will be facing a Miami defense that is growing and improving quickly.
"I do like the Broncos to somehow manage to get the win and cover spread by the narrowest of margins to snap their five-game ATS winless streak in the BetUS Sportsbook."
While Denver has always enjoyed a better advantage at home compared to most teams in the league (mainly because of the high altitude), in this series against Miami since 1986 the Broncos have only gone 1 of 5 at home. It gets worse. Miami has won 4 of the last 5 against the Broncos overall. The Dolphins have won 7 of the last 9 head-to-heads. The last time Miami played in Denver, they lost by only 3 points. They won the prior year in Denver by 2 points. The only other Denver win was a blowout back in 1999.
The Dolphins are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Broncos are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS loss, 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 vs. AFC, 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 home games, 7-23-1 ATS in their last 31 games overall and 1-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, although Miami is considered better than a .500 team by many.
Gambling911.com believes that BetUS.com will be wrong here. The trends and past history suggest strongly that Miami can cover the +3 points in this one.
Christopher Costigan, Gambling911.com Publisher
