Vicars in Trouble Odds to Win Kentucky Derby: He’s in Trouble From Number 1 Spot

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
May/01/2014
Vicars in Trouble Odds to Win Kentucky Derby: He’s in Trouble From Number 1 Spot

You’ve heard the pretty bad name calling with Vicars in Trouble with pundits insisting that Vicars IS in Trouble after being handed the dreaded number one post position.  His odds of winning this year's Derby are not very good.  Sign up today at AceSportsbook.com, and they will match your initial deposit with a 100% Free PlayLive In-Play Wagering and Mobile Gambling Available. 

Maddux Sports explains the rationale behind not wanting to start from the number one spot:

It’s by far the worst position – no other one is even close. The reasoning makes sense – every horse wants to get to the rail as quickly as possible because it’s the shortest distance around the track, so the one horse is going to be under attack from the start. When he faces that attack he can’t really do anything about it because the rail limits his movement. That means that to avoid the rush he has just two options – to go really fast to get clear on the front, or to drop back hard. Neither is likely to set the horse up well later on, and it’s almost certain that he’ll get caught in trouble. The odds for the number one horse will almost always be higher than they would be in any other post, and there is a good reason for that.

Interestingly enough, Vicars in Trouble was coming in at 25-1 odds, which is right where he started from prior to the post position draw.

Vicars in Trouble enjoyed a superb race at the Louisiana Derby, netting a 104 Speed rating.

He’ll be ridden by female jockey Rosie Napravnik and that always adds an element of intrigue. 

Other than the feared post position, Vicars in Trouble is bred to run a mile and may not have what it takes to go all the way in Saturday’s Kentucky Derby.

 

 

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- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

 

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