Stefon Diggs Trade Shifts Texans Super Bowl Odds Dramatically From 22-1 to 10-1

• Bills odds to win Super Bowl move from 12-1 to 16-1.

• Texans now 4th shortest odds to win the 2025 Super Bowl.

• Win totals for both teams remain unchanged.

If you ever wondered just how much a single player can shift the odds, look no further than Wednesday's blockbuster trade of Stefon Diggs to the Houston Texans from the Buffalo Bills.

The Bills odds of winning the 2025 Super Bowl did not move as drastically as one might think (12-1 to 16-1).  They took a slight hit in the AFC conference (7-1 to 9-1).  Buffalo receives a second round pick in the 2025 NFL Draft.

The noticeable shift comes with Houston's Super Bowl odds moving from 22-1 all the way to 10-1.  This gives the Texans the 4th shortest odds of winning the Super Bowl in 2025.

Reports of Diggs’ discontent with his role in the offense has been simmering for a few years despite arguably being Buffalo's most lethal receiving threat.

Diggs has topped 1,000 yards in each of his past six seasons. In his first season with the Bills, Diggs became the first player ever on that team to lead the league in both yards receiving (1,535) and catches (127).

More Changes:

Divisions:

- Houston went from +150 (3/2) to win the division to -110 (10/11). They remain the favorite.

- Buffalo went from +130 to win the division to +160 (8/5). They remain the favorite.

Win Totals:

- Houston remained at 9.5 wins after the trade

- Buffalo went from 10.5 to 10 wins after the trade

Super Bowl LIX Odds

Rot     NFL Super Bowl 2025 Winner     Moneyline
1001     San Francisco 49ers         +600
1002     Kansas City Chiefs         +600
1003     Baltimore Ravens         +900
1004     Cincinnati Bengals         +1400
1005     Buffalo Bills         +1400
1006     Detroit Lions         +1200
1007     Philadelphia Eagles         +1600
1008     Dallas Cowboys         +1800
1009     Miami Dolphins         +2000
1010     Green Bay Packers         +2000
1011     New York Jets         +2200
1012     Houston Texans         +1400
1013     Los Angeles Chargers         +3500
1014     Jacksonville Jaguars         +4000
1015     Los Angeles Rams         +3000
1016     Chicago Bears         +3500
1017     Atlanta Falcons         +3000
1018     Cleveland Browns         +4000
1019     Indianapolis Colts         +6000
1020     Minnesota Vikings         +6000
1021     Tampa Bay Buccaneers         +6000
1022     Pittsburgh Steelers         +5000
1023     Seattle Seahawks         +8000
1024     New Orleans Saints         +8000
1025     Arizona Cardinals         +8000
1026     Las Vegas Raiders         +8000
1027     Denver Broncos         +10000
1028     Washington Commanders         +12500
1029     New England Patriots         +12500
1030     New York Giants         +12500
1031     Tennessee Titans         +12500
1032     Carolina Panthers         +25000

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com