Updated Primary Odds for June 2: California, New Jersey, Georgia, Iowa, Montana, South Dakota, New Mexico

Submitted by C Costigan on

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C Costigan

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Updated Primary Odds for June 2: California, New Jersey, Georgia, Iowa, Montana, South Dakota, New Mexico

Tuesday marks a major primary day as voters in California, Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota cast their ballots.  And our friends at BetOnline have all the latest primary odds for each state including governor, senator and congressional races for each party. 

All eyes are on California, where a packed lineup of candidates is vying to replace Gavin Newsom in a nonpartisan primary where the top two finishers advance.

Over in Iowa, the political spotlight shines on an open Senate seat following Republican Sen. Joni Ernst’s decision not to run again—a race that will test the Democratic Party's strength in rural territory.

Next California Governor

Xavier Becerra -215

Tom Steyer +225

Steve Hilton 11/1

Katie Porter 33/1

Matt Mahan 33/1

Chad Bianco 50/1

(NOTE: Odds imply a 68.3% probability of victory for Becerra)

 

California Governor - Round 1 First Place

Xavier Becerra -600

Steve Hilton +450

Tom Steyer 11/1

Chad Bianco 100/1

Katie Porter 100/1

Matt Mahan 100/1

(NOTE: Odds imply an 85.7% probability of victory for Becerra)

 

CA Governor - Round 1 Becerra Vote Share

Over/Under 28.5%

 

CA Governor - Round 1 Hilton Vote Share

Over/Under 24.5%

 

CA Governor - Round 1 Steyer Vote Share

Over/Under 22.5%

 

CA Governor - Round 1 Becerra Margin of Victory

Over/Under 3%

 

CA-01 - Special Election Primary First Place

James Gallagher -500

Mike McGuire 3/1

Audrey Denney 22/1

(NOTE: Odds imply an 83.3% probability of victory for Gallagher)

 

CA-04 - Primary First Place

Mike Thompson -900

Eric Jones 5/1

(NOTE: Odds imply a 90% probability of victory for Thompson)

 

CA-07 - Primary First Place

Doris Matsui -600

Mai Vang +350

(NOTE: Odds imply an 85.7% probability of victory for Matsui)

 

CA-27 - Primary First Place

George Whitesides -600

Jason Gibbs +350

(NOTE: Odds imply an 85.7% probability of victory for Whitesides)

 

CA-40 - Primary First Place

Young Kim -220

Esther Kim Varet +275

Ken Calvert +450

(NOTE: Odds imply a 75% probability of victory for Kim)

 

CA-41 - Primary First Place

Linda Sanchez -1600

Mitch Clemmons 7/1

Hector De La Torre 14/1

(NOTE: Odds imply a 68.8% probability of victory for Sanchez)

 

Next Los Angeles Mayor

Karen Bass -240

Spencer Pratt +300

Nithya Raman +485

(NOTE: Odds imply a 70.6% probability of victory for Bass)

 

New Jersey Senate - Republican Primary

Alex Zdan -2500

Richard Tabor 8/1

Justin Murphy 80/1

(NOTE: Odds imply a 96.2% probability of victory for Zdan)

 

Iowa Senate - Democratic Primary

Josh Turek -4000

Zach Wahls 10/1

(NOTE: Odds imply a 97.6% probability of victory for Turek)

 

New Jersey-02 – Democratic Primary

Tim Alexander -130

Bayly Winder +115

Zack Mullock 8/1

(NOTE: Odds imply a 56.5% probability of victory for Alexander)

 

New Jersey-03 – Republican Primary

Michael McGuire -700

Jason Cullen 4/1

(NOTE: Odds imply an 87.5% probability of victory for McGuire)

 

New Jersey-09 – Republican Primary

Rosie Pino -500

Tiffany Burress 3/1

(NOTE: Odds imply an 83.3% probability of victory for Pino)

 

New Jersey-12 – Democratic Primary

Adam Hamawy -2000

Susan Altman 11/1

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson16/1

Adrian Mapp 33/1

Jay Vaingankar 33/1

Brad Cohen 50/1

Matthew Adams 65/1

Shanel Robinson 65/1

(NOTE: Odds imply a 95.2% probability of victory for Hamawy)

 

Georgia-01 – Democratic Primary

Joyce Griggs -400

Amanda Hollowell +250

(NOTE: Odds imply an 80% probability of victory for Griggs)

 

Georgia-11 – Republican Primary

John Cowan -400

Rob Adkerson +250

(NOTE: Odds imply an 80% probability of victory for Cowan)

 

Georgia-12 – Democratic Primary

Ceretta Smith -1500

Traci George 6/1

(NOTE: Odds imply a 93.8% probability of victory for Smith)

 

Iowa-02 – Democratic Primary

Lindsay James -3000

Clint-Twedt Ball 9/1

(NOTE: Odds imply a 96.8% probability of victory for James)

 

Iowa-04 – Democratic Primary

David Dawson -4000

Stephanie Steiner 10/1

(NOTE: Odds imply a 97.6% probability of victory for Dawson)

 

Montana-01 – Democratic Primary

Ryan Busse -900

Samuel Forstag 5/1

Russell Cleveland 18/1

Matt Rains 65/1

(NOTE: Odds imply a 90% probability of victory for Busse)

 

Montana-02 – Democratic Primary

Brian Miller -500

Sam Lux 3/1

(NOTE: Odds imply an 83.3% probability of victory for Miller)

 

New Mexico – Republican Primary

Gregg Hull -600

Doug Turner +350

Duke Rodriguez 50/1

(NOTE: Odds imply an 85.7% probability of victory for Hull)

 

South Dakota - Republican Primary

Toby Doeden -150

Dusty Johnson +175

Larry Rhoden 10/1

Jon Hansen 20/1

(NOTE: Odds imply a 60% probability of victory for Doeden)


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