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(November 26, 2022) - The Cincinnati Bengals are 6-4 Straight Up and 7-3 Against The Spread. They will take on a Titans team that have covered in their last eight straight games, and we can't see them doing that again here.
The line on this game was coming in at Bengals -1.5 after opening at -2.5. Favorites that have stayed at -2.5 and below without crossing the number 3 had gone 25-9 up to this point (this includes the Thanksgiving Day cover by Minnesota against New England).
We get a number of Tennessee 0.68, suggesting that the Wrong Team is Favored. There is also an overlay of 2 to 3 points.
The Bengals have won four of their last five games overall.
Cincinnati has beaten the Titans the past two seasons, last year by a field goal.
The Bengals are 10-1 Against The Spread vs. a team with a winning record, 13-3 Against The Spread in their last 16 games following a ATS win and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 vs. AFC.
In this quick-pick video below, Drew Butler is joined by Jonathan Casillas and Anthony Becht share each of their picks for this early Sunday game: Buffalo Bengals vs Tennessee Titans.
Cincinnati Bengals Notable Covers
Nov 20, 2022@ PIT - Cincinnati -5 to -3.5 Pittsburgh. The road favorite CIN covered and wins by 7 points with the line mostly on the money. Much of the time we did have a number of -4.5.
Nov 6, 2022 vs. CAR - Carolina +8 to +7 Cincinnati. The home favorite Cincinnati covers and wins by a quite a bit in this one. We had an underlay 2.5 to 3.5.
We had a comparable that was Houston +8.5 to +7 vs. Indianapolis that went for the dog (not the favorite). There was an underlay of 2.5 to 4 in that game.
Oct 16, 2022 @ NO - Cincinnati (-2.5) -3 New Orleans. The road favorite Cincy covers and wins with an underlay of 2 to 3 points.
This one fit in perfectly with our hot season trend whereby -3/-2.5 favorites not going over the number 3 are 25-9 Against The Spread as of November 26.
Oct 9, 2022 @ BAL - Cincinnati +3 to +3.5 Baltimore. Here the road dog Cincinnati covered with Baltimore having a 2 point win. We had an overlay of 1 to 1.5.
Comparables here included:
Miami -3 to -3.5 New York Jets (home dog Jets covers and wins)
Tennessee +3 to +3.5 Indianapolis (road favorite Tennessee covers and wins) Indianapolis 1.09 Overlay of 2 to 2.5 points.
- Mary Montgomery, Gambling911.com
