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Regulated sportsbook apps in the state of New Jersey do not permit betting on in-state schools. That became a problem during last season's NCAA Men's College Basketball Tournament as Cinderella schools like Princeton and Fairleigh Dickinson made some sweet runs.
Where there's a will, there's a way perhaps. Offshore sportsbooks that rely heavily on Bitcoin tend not to require extensive customer information as in the past. Many of these books now only ask for a name and text number, sometimes an email account, the idea being that Bitcoin is decentralized. Likewise, local bookies are not beholden to any state regulators. Neither the offshores or locals restrict betting on in-state teams such as Rutgers. As a rule, offshore sportsbooks do not knowingly accept customers from the Garden State.
Below we offer updates on Rutgers football games along with line analyses and potential ways of exploiting the odds.
Week 7:
Rutgers (4-2 Straight Up and 5-0-1 Against The Spread) takes on an MSU team that has just two wins on the season and is 2-2-1 ATS. The Scarlett Knights ATS record speaks volumes as to how they have overperformed thus far in 2023. Be careful here as Rutgers is due for an ATS loss. Sagarin gives us a number of 5.2 for Rutgers. This suggests a spread right on the money as the line has shifted between -4.5 and -5.5 for Rutgers.
Since Week 3, the Scarlett Knights have lost to Michigan and Wisconsin last week but were double digit underdogs in both of those. They pushed in the Michigan game with a 24-point loss
Week 3:
Rutgers beat Temple 36-7 and have the potential to start the season 3-0. Rutgers did start the season 3-0 just two years ago and that was the first time they did it since 2012.
They will face Virginia Tech as a steady -6.5 home favorite.
Rutgers has moved up from No. 82 (67.33) to No. 58 (72.82) on Sagarin. That's a nice move upward, likely based on their dominating victory.
With 74 Virginia Tech rated at No. 74 (69.05) and a home field advantage of 2.24 for Rutgers, we get a line of -6.01. That indicates a number that is right on the money (-6.5).
Comparables last season include:
NC State +6.5 /+7 Clemson with the home favorite winning by 10 points and covering. This was the exact scenario as this game with a line on the money.
Purdue +6.5 Illinois had the road dog covering and the scenario was pretty identical to this game as well with an accurate number.
This will represent the first game we're sampling this season that falls in the 6.5/7 range without going over the 7 with an accurate line.
Week 2: Temple @ Rutgers
Assuming the oddsmakers are correct, Rutgers has a shot at starting the 2023 season 2-0 as they come into this one against Temple as a -9.5/-10 point favorite.
Rutgers Sagarin Rating comes in this week at 67.33 (No. 82 of all teams) vs. Temple 59.20 (No. 115). This week's home field advantage is 3.39.
We end up with a number of 11.52 and an early underlay of 2.
Rutgers Rolls Over Northwestern Week 1
Rutgers quarterback Gavin Wimsatt threw a touchdown and ran for another as the Scarlet Knights dominated the time of possession, controlling the ball for almost 38 minutes, while limiting the Wildcats to 22 yards rushing and 201 yards in total offense — the least they have allowed in a Big Ten game. The Scarlet Knights walked away with a 24-7 victory as the -6.5 point favorite.
We detected an overlay of 4.5 on this game line.
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
