Endorsed by Gambling911

Free Baseball Pick May 16, 2010

Written by:

Johnny Detroit

Published on:

May/16/2010

The Milwaukee Brewers host the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday Night Baseball on ESPN tonight at 8:05 EDT. The Brewers are looking to avoid the embarrassing sweep to the Phillies. Both teams have explosive offenses, so tonight should be entertaining if nothing else. The Phillies are -145 favorites, with a total of 10 runs expected tonight.

Milwaukee is struggling mightily right now, as they've lost each of their past 5 games in blowout fashion. Even worse, all 5 losses have come at home. Milwaukee is 15-21 on the season, and are only 4-13 in home games this year. The Brewers have to be frustrated in their home play, as this was expected to be a good team this year. The Brewers will look to win today to avoid being swept in consecutive home series. Pitcher Doug Davis will take the mound today against Philadelphia. Davis is 1-4 with an ERA of 7.56 and a WHIP of 1.98 this season. The Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 home games against a left-handed starter. Milwaukee is 6-1 in Davis' last 7 home starts against a team with a winning record. The Brewers are 16-5 in Davis' last 21 starts against a team with a winning record. The Brewers are 2-5 in Davis' last 7 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.

The Brewers are 4-12 in their last 16 games as a home underdog. The Over is 7-2 in their last 9 home games against a team with a winning road record. Center-Fielder Carlos Gomez is on the DL due to a shoulder injury.

Philadelphia is 1 win away from winning 4 of their 5 game games of their road trip. The Phillies are 22-13 overall this season, tied for the best record in the National League. Philadelphia has the unique record of 22-13 both SU and on the run line this year. SU the Phillies are up 4.39 units, and nearly 9 units on the run line this season. Offensively, Philadelphia has scored 9 runs or more in 3 of their past 4 games. Cole Hamels will take the mound today for the Phillies, and he is 3-2 with an ERA of 4.53 and a WHIP of 1.53 this season. Philadelphia is 5-2 in their last 7 road games against a left-handed starter. The Phillies are 22-8 in Hamels' last 30 starts against the National League Central. The Phillies are 1-4 in Hamels' last 5 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150.

The Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 road games against a team with a home winning percentage less than .400%. The Under is 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Shortstop Jimmy Rollins is on the DL due to a calf injury.

Pregame.com projects the final score to be 7-6 in favor of the Philadelphia Phillies. The Over 10 runs is the Total of the Day.

Johnny Detroit, Gambling911.com (Courtesy of Pregame.com)

Baseball News

Zach Eflin Player Prop Bets

Zach Eflin has great value in fantasy leagues for the April 26 game against the lowly Chicago White Sox. Betting on Eflin and the Tampa Bay Rays might make sense if not for the -210 price tag.

Trevor Williams Player Prop Bets

The Nats Trevor Williams held the Astros to one run with four strikeouts across six innings in a no-decision on Saturday. And the betting public was eating him up at a near 80% clip.

Kyle Gibson Player Prop Bets: Hits Allowed

Kyle Gibson led the Batlimore Orioles with 15 wins through 192 innings in 2023 but his ERA came in at a less impressive 4.73 and had 157 strikeouts.

Grayson Rodriguez Player Prop Bets: Hits Allowed

Grayson Rodriguez finished his first MLB season with the Baltimore Orioles last year 7-4, with a 4.35 ERA and was already off to a hot 3-0 start in 2024.

Tanner Bibee Player Prop Bets: Hits Allowed

Bibee was promoted to the major leagues at the start of last season and made a lot of noise in doing so. In his debut versus the Colorado Rockies, Bibee became the first Cleveland pitcher ever to record at least five consecutive strikeouts in a Major League debut.