Casey Affleck Sexual Harassment Claims Make Him a Risky Oscar Bet

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Feb/24/2017

Casey Affleck is the odds-on favorite to win Best Actor for his critically acclaimed performance in Manchester By The Sea.  But sexual harassment allegations filed by two female colleagues of Affleck years ago do threaten to turn off some Academy members, especially with Denzel Washington enjoying short odds for his role in “Fences”.

Though settled in 2010 with Affleck claiming on wrongdoing, Cinematographer Magdalena Gorka and producer Amanda White alleged that behind the scenes Affleck verbally and sexually harassed them, even asserting that the actor crawled into the bed of Gorka uninvited.  Each of the women sought $2 million.

“This is the year Hollywood liberals took great offense to newly elected US President Donald Trump’s ‘grab them by the p****’ comment caught on tape years ago,” notes Gambling911.com Senior Editor Payton O’Brien, who notes that the website is pushing the idea of a Denzel Washington win that would pay out $11 for every $10 bet. 

“It’s also the year following a boycott, albeit limited, by some of last year’s Oscars ceremony due to frustrations over limited nominations of African Americans,” O’Brien added.  “Denzel Washington is an Academy favorite and offers the perfect medicine to put those grievances to rest perhaps.”

This is not to take anything away from Affleck, whose Manchester By The Sea performance has made him the near 1/2 odds favorite.

“People love him in Manchester and he might win some stuff,” said a member of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA) in an interview with the Guardian. “People really do like him, no one wants him to be an abuser or anything like it.”

The Oscars are the most wagered on non-sporting event outside of the US Presidential race and – in more recent times – political outcomes such as Brexit.  Many of the categories tend to be high priced “locks” such as this year’s Best Director winner (Damien Chazelle is the -2100 favorite requiring a $210 bet just to win $10 - NO THANK YOU)

This year’s Best Actor category is among the most competitive for wagering enthusiasts.

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MOONLIGHT

-750

HIDDEN FIGURES

+700

LION

+700

ARRIVAL

+1200

FENCES

+1600

89TH ACADEMY AWARDS-WIN BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

 

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ZOOTOPIA

-535

KUBO AND THE TWO STRINGS

+250

MOANA

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MY LIFE AS A ZUCCHINI

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THE RED TURTLE

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PIPER

-500

BLIND VAYSHA

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PEARL

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BORROWED TIME

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PEAR CIDER AND CIGARETTES

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LA LA LAND

-820

LION

+650

ARRIVAL

+1200

MOONLIGHT

+1400

SILENCE

+2200

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LA LA LAND

-185

JACKIE

EV

FLORENCE FOSTER JENKINS

+1400

FANTASTIC BEAST AND WHERE TO FIND THEM

+1800

ALLIED

+4500

89TH ACADEMY AWARDS-WINS BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

 

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O.J.: MADE IN AMERICA

-800

13TH

+400

I AM NOT YOUR NEGRO

+1400

LIFE, ANIMATED

+2000

FIRE AT SEA

+2500

89TH ACADEMY AWARDS-WINS BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

 

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EXTREMIS

-200

JOES VIOLIN

+250

THE WHITE HELMETS

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WATANI: MY HOMELAND

+1200

4.1 MILES

+2200

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LA LA LAND

-750

HACKSAW RIDGE

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ARRIVAL

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MOONLIGHT

+1600

HELL OR HIGH WATER

+4000

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TONI ERDMANN

-150

THE SALESMAN

EV

A MAN CALLED OVE

+750

LAND OF MINE

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TANNA

+4000

89TH ACADEMY AWARDS-WIN BEST LIVEACTION SHORT FILM

 

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ENNEMIS INTERIEURS

-160

TIMECODE

+200

SING

+350

LA FEMME ET LE TGV

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SILENT NIGHTS

+1400

89TH ACADEMY AWARDS - WINS BEST MAKEUP

 

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STAR TREK BEYOND

-375

SUICIDE SQUAD

+350

A MAN CALLED OVE

+400

89TH ACADEMY AWARDS- WINS BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

 

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LA LA LAND

-1300

MOONLIGHT

+750

JACKIE

+900

LION

+1200

PASSENGERS

+4000

89TH ACADEMY AWARDS- WINS BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

 

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MANCHESTER BY THE SEA

-180

LA LA LAND

+110

HELL OR HIGH WATER

+1500

THE LOBSTER

+2800

20TH CENTURY WOMEN

+4000

89TH ACADEMY AWARDS - WINS BEST ORIGINAL SONG

 

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CITY OF STARS (LA LA LAND)

-650

AUDITION (LA LA LAND)

+700

HOW FAR I'LL GO (MOANA)

+700

CAN'T STOP THE FEELING! (TROLLS)

+700

THE EMPTY CHAIR (JIM: THE JAMES FOLEY STORY)

+4000

89TH ACADEMY AWARDS-WINS BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

 

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LA LA LAND

-1600

FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEM

+700

CAESAR! HAIL

+1600

ARRIVAL

+1200

PASSENGERS

+4000

89TH ACADEMY AWARDS - WINS BEST SOUND EDITING

 

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HACKSAW RIDGE

-185

LA LA LAND

+200

ARRIVAL

+300

DEEPWATER HORIZON

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SULLY

+4000

89TH ACADEMY AWARDS- WINS BEST SOUND MIXING

 

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LA LA LAND

-850

ARRIVAL

+500

HACKSAW RIDGE

+900

ROGUE ONE: A STAR WARS STORY

+2500

13 HOURS

+4000

89TH ACADEMY AWARDS-WIN BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

 

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VIOLA DAVIS (FENCES)

-4100

MICHELLE WILLIAMS (MANCHESTER BY THE SEA)

+1000

NAOMIE HARRIS (MOONLIGHT)

+1400

NICOLE KIDMAN (LION)

+2200

OCTAVIA SPENCER (HIDDEN FIGURES)

+4000

89TH ACADEMY AWARDS- ODDS TO WIN BEST ACTOR

 

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CASEY AFFLECK (MANCHESTER BY THE SEA)

-190

DENZEL WASHINGTON (FENCES)

+110

RYAN GOSLING (LA LA LAND)

+1600

ANDREW GARFIELD (SILENCE)

+4000

VIGGO MORTENSEN (CAPTAIN FANTASTIC)

+8000

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NATALIE PORTMAN (JACKIE)

+500

EMMA STONE (LA LA LAND)

-1000

RUTH NEGGA (LOVING)

+3500

ISABELLA HUPPERT (ELLE)

+700

MERYL STREEP (FLORENCE FOSTER JENKINS)

+4000

89TH ACADEMY AWARDS - WINS BEST DIRECTOR

 

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DAMIEN CHAZELLE (LA LA LAND)

-2100

BARRY JENKINS (MOONLIGHT)

+900

KENNETH LONERGAN (MANCHESTER BY THE SEA)

+1000

MEL GIBSON (HACKSAW RIDGE)

+2200

DENIS VILLENEUVE (ARRIVAL)

+2800

89TH ACADEMY AWARDS - WINS BEST PICTURE

 

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LA LA LAND

-1100

MANCHESTER BY THE SEA

+1200

FENCES

+5000

HACKSAW RIDGE

+5000

LION

+4500

ARRIVAL

+8000

HIDDEN FIGURES

+1000

HELL OR HIGH WATER

+8000

MOONLIGHT

+350

89TH ACADEMY AWARDS -WINS BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

 

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MAHERSHALA ALI (MOONLIGHT)

-800

MICHAEL SHANNON (NOCTURNAL ANIMALS)

+700

JEFF BRIDGES (HELL OR HIGH WATER)

+1200

LUCAS HEDGES (MANCHESTER BY THE SEA)

+1400

DEV PATEL (LION)

+500


- Jordan Bach, Gambling911.com

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