Rodgers’ Impact on Super Bowl Odds; Pats Open as 4.5-Point Favorite in SB Rematch
According to oddsmakers at BookMaker.eu, Aaron Rodgers is worth 6-7 points to a line, depending on the opponent.
Prior to Week 6, the Packers had the third-lowest odds to win Super Bowl LII at +700 (7/1). Adjusted odds at BookMaker have moved the Packers' Super Bowl odds to +2500 odds (25/1).
In just the ninth Super Bowl rematch of the following season, New England opened as 4.5-point favorites over the sliding Falcons. This marks the smallest spread the Patriots have been favored by at home since 12/28/14 (vs. Buffalo).
List of Super Bowl Rematches in NFL History (spread in parenthesis)
2017: Falcons at Patriots (-4.5)
2016: Panthers 20 at Broncos 21 (+3)
2014: Broncos 20 at Seahawks 26 (-4)
1997: Packers 28 at Patriots 10 (-1.5)
1993: Bills 13 at Cowboys 10 (-5)
1979: Steelers 14 at Cowboys 3
1977: Vikings 13 at Raiders 35
1970: Chiefs 10 at Vikings 27
NFL Week 7 Opening Odds
Chiefs at Raiders (+3, 47.5)
Titans at Browns (OFF)
Jaguars at Colts (OFF)
Bengals at Steelers (-6, 41)
Ravens at Vikings (-4.5, 39.5)
Jets at Dolphins (-3.5, 38.5)
Buccaneers at Bills (OFF)
Panthers at Bears (+4, 41)
Saints at Packers (OFF)
Cardinals at Rams (-3, 47.5)
Cowboys at 49ers (+6, 47)
Seahawks at Giants (OFF)
Broncos at Chargers (OFF)
Falcons at Patriots (-4.5, 53.5)
Redskins at Eagles (-5.5, 48.5)
Notes:
- San Francisco is the first team in NFL history to lose five straight games by three points or fewer
College Football Week 8 Opening Odds
Top 25
Tennessee at Alabama (-33)
Michigan at Penn State (-12.5)
Kansas at TCU (-38)
Maryland at Wisconsin (-24)
Syracuse at Miami (-14.5)
Oklahoma at Kansas State (+12.5)
Oklahoma State at Texas (+6)
USC at Notre Dame (-3.5)
North Carolina at Virginia Tech (-21)
Colorado at Washington State (-10)
South Florida at Tulane (+11)
Indiana at Michigan State (-7)
UCF at Navy (+6.5)
Auburn at Arkansas (OFF)
West Virginia at Baylor (+9.5)
LSU at Ole Miss (+7)
Memphis at Houston (-2)
Full Schedule
Memphis at Houston (-2)
UL Lafayette at Arkansas State (-13)
Western Kentucky at Old Dominion (+10)
Marshall at Middle Tennessee State (+2.5)
Air Force at Nevada (+5.5)
Colorado State at New Mexico (+6.5)
Iowa at Northwestern (+1)
Tulsa at Connecticut (+7)
Troy at Georgia State (+10)
SMU at Cincinnati (OFF)
North Texas at Florida Atlantic (-6.5)
Buffalo at Miami Ohio (OFF)
Akron at Toledo (OFF)
Kent at Ohio (-21)
Northern Illinois at Bowling Green (+14)
Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan (OFF)
Indiana at Michigan State (-7)
UAB at Charlotte (+4.5)
Temple at Army (-6.5)
BYU at East Carolina (+7.5)
Purdue at Rutgers (+8)
Pittsburgh at Duke (-8)
Syracuse at Miami (-14.5)
Central Michigan at Ball State (+2.5)
Wake Forest at Georgia Tech (-8.5)
Coastal Carolina at Appalachian State (OFF)
Michigan at Penn State (-12.5)
Maryland at Wisconsin (-24)
North Carolina at Virginia Tech (-21)
Boston College at Virginia (-7)
Wyoming at Boise State (-14)
Kansas at TCU (-38)
Rice at UTSA (-18.5)
Georgia Southern at UMass (-7)
UCF at Navy (+6.5)
Idaho at Missouri (-14)
Kentucky at Mississippi State (-10)
South Florida at Tulane (+11)
Utah State at UNLV (-2.5)
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech (-3.5)
Oregon at UCLA (-6.5)
Arizona at Cal (-1.5)
Illinois at Minnesota (-14.5)
Tennessee at Alabama (-33)
Oklahoma State at Texas (+6)
West Virginia at Baylor (+9.5)
Auburn at Arkansas (OFF)
Louisville at Florida State (-7)
UL Monroe at South Alabama (-5)
USC at Notre Dame (-3.5)
Oklahoma at Kansas State (+12.5)
LSU at Ole Miss (+7)
Iowa State at Texas Tech (-5)
Arizona State at Utah (OFF)
Colorado at Washington State (-10)
Fresno State at San Diego State (-11.5)
Early Sharp Action:
- Michigan +12.5 to +10
- Northwestern +1 to -1.5
- North Texas +6.5 to +3
- UAB -4 to -7
- East Carolina +7.5 to +5.5
- UTSA -18.5 to -21.5
- Arizona +1.5 to -1
Notes:
- Penn State (-12.5) is favored over Michigan for the first time since 2009
- Tennessee is the largest underdog (+33) its been since before the 1985 season. The Vols have lost 10 straight to Alabama, and the Tide has been favored by at least two touchdowns in nine straight
- Purdue (-8) is favored in a road game for the first time since 11/17/12 (at Illinois)
