CFL Week 14 Preview and Predictions
Canadian Sports Handicapper Ron Raymond releases his CFL preview, picks and analysis on Week 14. Ron Raymond is a pioneer of the online sports handicapping industry and has built over 20+ sports betting sites since 1996 through his work on ATSDatabase.com.
Edmonton (54) vs. Winnipeg (-2)
Eskimos at Blue Bombers History: 7-6-0 (ATS) 6-7 (SU) 5-8-0 (O/U/P)
The line on this one was down to -1 ½ at press time Thursday at Sports Interaction
Ron's Comment: Tough spot for the Eskimos, they've lost their confidence on offense and their defense can't stop anything at this point. Plus, here's a go against CFL System favoring the Blue Bombers tonight. When any CFL team played as a home/road team, coming off a game scored 7 points or less, total is between 51.5 to 54; teams in this spot are 2-16 SU and 3-15-0 ATS in this spot since '96.
Winnipeg is a team gaining their confidence, my only concern is their last 2 wins were against Toronto and Hamilton. If there's one positive thing I've liked about the Blue Bombers offense of late, they are using Milt Stegall a bit more and that's why you're seeing positive results in the win column. If the temperature is "comfortable" on Friday night, this could be bad news for the Edmonton Eskimos, as the Bombers have more talented receivers and could expose this Eskimos secondary.
Line seems funny, as the Eskimos are having the better season from a "big picture" point of view, but in the short term, this is a good spot to play on Winnipeg at -2.0. Furthermore, here's a "feel good" statistics for Blue Bombers supporters; Winnipeg is 15-4 SU and ATS as a -3.0 point or less home favorite since 1996.
Ron's forecast: Winnipeg 27 Edmonton 21
ATSCalculator.com: Edmonton to win by 4.09 points and the o/u to land on 54.15.
ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When ANY CFL Team played as Home team as a Favorite -Total is between 51.5 to 54 -Before a non division game - Coming off a 2 game winning streak - Coming off a game scored 24 points or more; The Home Favorite is 12-0 SU in this role since '96.
Calgary (-9.5) vs. Toronto (53.5)
Stampeders at Argonauts History: 4-8-0 (ATS) 2-10 (SU) 4-8-0 (O/U/P)
Ron's Comment: The Argos look like a team who will not win another game all season. They are playing QB roulette, they are releasing old defensive players and there's no chemistry on this team, none! After two games, its obvious bringing in Don Matthews is looking more and more like a PR move as Milt Stegall predicted 2 weeks ago and this issue is deeper than just a coaching change.
The Argonauts don't have an identity on offense or defense; their top running back is a punt return specialist and they don't have a go to receiver. QB's are constantly looking over their shoulder to see when they are going to get the hook and it's just one big gigantic mess. This whole mayhem started by releasing their heart and soul Noel Prefontaine and bringing in Vanderjagt. Furthermore, bringing in Kerry Joseph from the Roughriders was more of a PR stunt then leaving Michael Bishop grow into the QB position. The Stampeders are rolling nicely, winning 2 straight games and 5 of their last 6 contests. Furthermore, QB Henri Burris is having a great season and John Hufnagel could be included in the Coach of the Year running.
The Stamps have not enjoyed their past trips to the Rogers Centre against the Argos; as they've not won since Sept 28th 2000 and have lost 7 straight in Hogtown. Therefore, I would recommend looking at the total in this game, as teams who have a bad history in certain cities, should not be overlooked.
Ron's forecast: Calgary 34 Toronto 17
ATSCalculator.com: Calgary to win by 21.03 pts and the o/u to land on 54.95.
ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When TORONTO team played as Home team as an Underdog -Vs Non Division Opponent -Vs Non Conference Opponent; The UNDER is 20-5-0 for the Argos in this spot since '96.
Hamilton (54.5) vs. BC Lions (-13)
Tigercats at Lions History: 6-6-0 (ATS) 2-10 (SU) 4-8-0 (O/U/P)
Ron's Comment: Finally the Hamilton Tiger Cats addressed their Running back position by adding a proven Running back in Kenton Keith. The Ticats need to release or trade Lumsden in the offseason, he's unable to stay healthy and it has impacted the Tiger Cats productivity on offense the last few seasons. Furthermore, no matter what people say, the Tiger Cats are more successful with Reggie Williams starting at QB, as the offense is not as productive with Printers at the helm. The Lions are 3-0 SU in their last 3 games and are coming off back to back games vs. the Roughriders. Caution, this is an ideal letdown spot here for the Lions, they are riding a 3-game winning streak and have the slumping Argos on deck. Hamilton has given the Lions a tough fight in their last 2 games at the dome and the last 3 games have gone under the total.
Ron's forecast: BC Lions 34 Hamilton 25
ATSCalculator.com: BC to win by 9.48 pts and the o/u to land on 56.39.
ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When ANY CFL Team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite -Before a non division game - Coming off a game scored 27 points or more - Coming off a 1 ATS win - Coming off a Road win as a Underdog; The UNDER is 7-4-1 for the Home Favorite in this role since '97.
Saskatchewan (54.5) vs. Montreal (-7)
Roughriders at Alouettes History: 8-5-0 (ATS) 2-11 (SU) 3-9-0 (O/U/P)
Ron's Comment: Montreal has scored 30 or more points in 11 of their 12 games this season and their QB Anthony Calvillo is having a MVP type season. However, the Alouettes are in a classic letdown spot this Sunday vs. the Saskatchewan Roughriders. Saskatchewan has lost their last 2 games vs. a BC Lions team who are starting to peak and they have the defense that could shut down this Alouettes potent offense.
Saskatchewan is another team who has not had success on their Eastern Road trips, as they are 2-11 SU in Montreal since 1996 and they are having QB issues. Montreal is getting too much respect in my view, because they are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games, but if you look at their Strength of Schedule chart at ATS Database, their SOS is 42.86%.
Ron's forecast: Saskatchewan 24 Montreal 20
ATSCalculator.com: Montreal winning by 9.98 point and the o/u to land on 54.0.
ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When SASKATCHEWAN team played as a 7 to 9.5 Road Underdog - Allowed score 27 points or more against; The Roughriders are 7-3-0 ATS in this role.
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Ron Raymond, ATSDatabase.com
