AFC Wild Card Playoffs Betting: Buffalo Bills vs. Houston Texans
The AFC Wildcard Playoffs game between the Buffalo Bills and Houston Texans featured a line of Houston -2.5 after opening at -3. Action was relatively balanced on the spread but lopsided favoring Houston on the moneyline (-145). The total on this game was set at 44.
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J.J. Watt returns to the field Saturday two months after surgery to repair a torn pectoral muscle.
After sitting out since October, it's unclear how much impact Watt will have on the game. But coach Bill O'Brien said Thursday that Watt would play "quite a bit," which should help a pass rush that ranked 26th in the NFL with just 31 sacks.
Both the Bills and Texans take a 10-6 record into Saturday's game.
The home team has won all five games in this series dating back to 2009, but the Texans hosted four of those.
The Bills have lost five straight playoff games since a 37-22 win over Miami in a wild-card game on Dec. 30, 1995.
Buffalo's playoff-victory drought is the third longest active streak in the NFL at 24 years.
Bills-Texans Betting Trends
The Bills are 5-0-1 Against The Spread in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
The Bills are 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 road games.
Houston is 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The Texans are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Houston is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home.
The Texans are 9-2-1 Against The Spread in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
The Texans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
The UNDER is 5-1 in Bills last 6 games following a ATS loss.
The UNDER is 7-1 in Bills last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
The UNDER is 12-4 in Texans last 16 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
The UNDER is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
