Green Book Best Picture Odds

Written by:
Jordan Bach
Published on:
Feb/23/2019

While most Oscar experts believe that the Best Film statuette is Roma's to take as the favorite, a few believe that Green Book will be this year's upset paying $36 for every $10 bet. 


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How to read the odds.  Roma at -330 requires a refundable $33 bet to win $10.  All other films will pay more than the initial risk.  Green Book, as noted, pays $36 on a $10 bet (+360).  The Favourite pays $180 on a $10 bet (+1800).  Rarely do nominees with this long a price win when it comes to the Academy Awards.

  • Roma -330
  • Green Book +360
  • The Favourite +1800
  • Bohemian Rhapsody +1800
  • BlacKkKlansman +3000
  • Black Panther +3000
  • A Star is Born +3000
  • Vice +5000

Variety is one that believes Green Book will win:

BEST PICTURE

With this officially being the most wide-open race we’ve ever seen (at least based on precursors), it’s fair to say best picture could go to any of the eight nominees. But “Green Book” has won the Golden Globe (comedy or musical) and producers guild award, while “Roma” has won the directors guild and British Academy (BAFTA) prizes, so it feels like a battle between the two. It may come down to the preferential ballot, used only in this category, and whatever X factor the Academy’s ever-evolving membership represents. My hunch is “Green Book” is more broadly palatable and allows voters who want to put the brakes on Netflix’s ascent to do precisely that. But if there’s a true shocker lurking, it could be drama Globe winner “Bohemian Rhapsody,” which has won the most overall guild/industry group prizes (from the American Cinema Editors, Cinema Audio Society, and Motion Picture Sound Editors, plus a SAG-AFTRA award), and it has been utterly immune, much like “Green Book,” to pointed criticisms this year.

Will win: “Green Book”
Could win: “Roma”
Should win: “Roma”
Should have been here: “If Beale Street Could Talk”

- Jordan Bach, Gambling911.com

BET THE OSCARS HERE

91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Picture
  • Roma -330
  • Green Book +360
  • The Favourite +1800
  • Bohemian Rhapsody +1800
  • BlacKkKlansman +3000
  • Black Panther +3000
  • A Star is Born +3000
  • Vice +5000
91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Actor
  • Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody) -400
  • Christian Bale (Vice) +250
  • Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born) +1400
  • Viggo Mortensen (Green Book) +3300
  • Willem Dafoe (At Eternity’s Gate) +5000
91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Actress
  • Glenn Close (The Wife) -550
  • Olivia Coleman (The Favourite) +350
  • Lady Gaga (A Star is Born) +1000
  • Yalitza Aparicio (Roma) +4000
  • Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) +5000
91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Director
  • Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) -2000
  • Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) +550
  • Pawel Pawlikowski (Cold War) +2500
  • Adam McKay (Vice) +3300
  • Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite) +3300
91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Supporting Actor
  • Mahershela Ali (Green Book) -1400
  • Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) +700
  • Sam Elliott (A Star is Born) +900
  • Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman) +3300
  • Sam Rockwell (Vice) +5000
91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Supporting Actress
  • Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk) -280
  • Amy Adams (Vice) +300
  • Rachel Weisz (The Favourite) +800
  • Marina de Tavira (Roma) +1500
  • Emma Stone (The Favourite) +2000 
91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Adapted Screenplay
  • BlacKkKlansman -250
  • Can You Ever Forgive Me? +275
  • If Beale Street Could Talk +600 
  • A Star is Born +2000
  • The Ballad of Buster Scruggs +5000
91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Original Screenplay
  • The Favourite -200
  • Green Book +200
  • Roma +750
  • First Reformed +1400
  • Vice +4000
91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Visual Effects
  • Avengers: Infinity War -500
  • First Man +325
  • Ready Player One +1000
  • Christopher Robin +3500
  • Solo: A Star Wars Story +5000
91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Cinematography
  • Roma -2000
  • Cold War +900
  • The Favourite +1500
  • A Star is Born +1500 
  • Never Look Away +4000
91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Costume Design
  • The Favourite -220
  • Black Panther +150
  • Mary Queen of Scots +2000 
  • Mary Poppins Returns +2500
  • The Ballad of Buster Scruggs +3300
91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Animated Feature
  • Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse -1500
  • Isle of Dogs +900
  • Incredibles 2 +900
  • Ralph Breaks the Internet +2500 
  • Mirai +4000
91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Documentary Feature
  • Free Solo -200
  • RGB +130 
  • Minding the Gap +1500
  • Hale County This Morning, This Evening +4000
  • Of Fathers and Sons -5000
91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Foreign Language Film
  • Roma (Mexico) -2000
  • Cold War (Poland) +700
  • Shoplifters (Japan) +1700
  • Capernaum (Lebanon) +2500
  • Never Look Away (Germany) +3300
91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Original Score
  • If Beale Street Could Talk -200
  • Black Panther +250
  • Mary Poppins Returns +550
  • BlacKkKlansman +1600
  • Isle of Dogs +2500
91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Original Song
  • Shallow (A Star is Born) -3000
  • All the Stars (Black Panther) +750
  • I’ll Fight (RGB) +2000
  • The Place Where Lost Things Go (Mary Poppins Returns) +2000
  • When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings (The Ballad of Buster Scruggs) +4000

Oscar Props

91st Academy Awards – What Will be Greater?
  • Average Views on Television Broadcast -10000
  • Average Views on Streaming Broadcast +1400
91st Academy Awards – How Many times will trump be mentioned on stage
  • OVER 1.5 -150
  • UNDER 1.5 +110
91st Academy Awards – Will Liam Neeson be Mentioned by name during the ceremony?
  • No -700
  • Yes +400
91st Academy Awards – Will an oscar trophy be Dropped during the Ceremony?
  • No -700
  • Yes +400
91st Academy Awards – Will Any Winners be Bleeped During their acceptance speech?
  • Yes EVEN
  • No -140
91st Academy Awards – How long will the abc official broadcast last?
  • UNDER 3 hours 15 minutes -140
  • OVER 3 hours 15 minutes EVEN

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