Green Book Best Picture Odds

Written by:

Jordan Bach

Published on:

Feb/23/2019

While most Oscar experts believe that the Best Film statuette is Roma's to take as the favorite, a few believe that Green Book will be this year's upset paying $36 for every $10 bet.

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How to read the odds. Roma at -330 requires a refundable $33 bet to win $10. All other films will pay more than the initial risk. Green Book, as noted, pays $36 on a $10 bet (+360). The Favourite pays $180 on a $10 bet (+1800). Rarely do nominees with this long a price win when it comes to the Academy Awards.

Roma -330
Green Book +360
The Favourite +1800
Bohemian Rhapsody +1800
BlacKkKlansman +3000
Black Panther +3000
A Star is Born +3000
Vice +5000

Variety is one that believes Green Book will win:

BEST PICTURE

With this officially being the most wide-open race we’ve ever seen (at least based on precursors), it’s fair to say best picture could go to any of the eight nominees. But “Green Book” has won the Golden Globe (comedy or musical) and producers guild award, while “Roma” has won the directors guild and British Academy (BAFTA) prizes, so it feels like a battle between the two. It may come down to the preferential ballot, used only in this category, and whatever X factor the Academy’s ever-evolving membership represents. My hunch is “Green Book” is more broadly palatable and allows voters who want to put the brakes on Netflix’s ascent to do precisely that. But if there’s a true shocker lurking, it could be drama Globe winner “Bohemian Rhapsody,” which has won the most overall guild/industry group prizes (from the American Cinema Editors, Cinema Audio Society, and Motion Picture Sound Editors, plus a SAG-AFTRA award), and it has been utterly immune, much like “Green Book,” to pointed criticisms this year.

Will win: “Green Book”
Could win: “Roma”
Should win: “Roma”
Should have been here: “If Beale Street Could Talk”

- Jordan Bach, Gambling911.com

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91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Picture

Roma -330
Green Book +360
The Favourite +1800
Bohemian Rhapsody +1800
BlacKkKlansman +3000
Black Panther +3000
A Star is Born +3000
Vice +5000

91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Actor

Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody) -400
Christian Bale (Vice) +250
Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born) +1400
Viggo Mortensen (Green Book) +3300
Willem Dafoe (At Eternity’s Gate) +5000

91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Actress

Glenn Close (The Wife) -550
Olivia Coleman (The Favourite) +350
Lady Gaga (A Star is Born) +1000
Yalitza Aparicio (Roma) +4000
Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) +5000

91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Director

Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) -2000
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) +550
Pawel Pawlikowski (Cold War) +2500
Adam McKay (Vice) +3300
Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite) +3300

91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Supporting Actor

Mahershela Ali (Green Book) -1400
Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) +700
Sam Elliott (A Star is Born) +900
Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman) +3300
Sam Rockwell (Vice) +5000

91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Supporting Actress

Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk) -280
Amy Adams (Vice) +300
Rachel Weisz (The Favourite) +800
Marina de Tavira (Roma) +1500
Emma Stone (The Favourite) +2000

91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Adapted Screenplay

BlacKkKlansman -250
Can You Ever Forgive Me? +275
If Beale Street Could Talk +600
A Star is Born +2000
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs +5000

91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Original Screenplay

The Favourite -200
Green Book +200
Roma +750
First Reformed +1400
Vice +4000

91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Visual Effects

Avengers: Infinity War -500
First Man +325
Ready Player One +1000
Christopher Robin +3500
Solo: A Star Wars Story +5000

91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Cinematography

Roma -2000
Cold War +900
The Favourite +1500
A Star is Born +1500
Never Look Away +4000

91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Costume Design

The Favourite -220
Black Panther +150
Mary Queen of Scots +2000
Mary Poppins Returns +2500
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs +3300

91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Animated Feature

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse -1500
Isle of Dogs +900
Incredibles 2 +900
Ralph Breaks the Internet +2500
Mirai +4000

91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Documentary Feature

Free Solo -200
RGB +130
Minding the Gap +1500
Hale County This Morning, This Evening +4000
Of Fathers and Sons -5000

91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Foreign Language Film

Roma (Mexico) -2000
Cold War (Poland) +700
Shoplifters (Japan) +1700
Capernaum (Lebanon) +2500
Never Look Away (Germany) +3300

91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Original Score

If Beale Street Could Talk -200
Black Panther +250
Mary Poppins Returns +550
BlacKkKlansman +1600
Isle of Dogs +2500

91st Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Original Song

Shallow (A Star is Born) -3000
All the Stars (Black Panther) +750
I’ll Fight (RGB) +2000
The Place Where Lost Things Go (Mary Poppins Returns) +2000
When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings (The Ballad of Buster Scruggs) +4000

Oscar Props

91st Academy Awards – What Will be Greater?

Average Views on Television Broadcast -10000
Average Views on Streaming Broadcast +1400

91st Academy Awards – How Many times will trump be mentioned on stage

OVER 1.5 -150
UNDER 1.5 +110

91st Academy Awards – Will Liam Neeson be Mentioned by name during the ceremony?

No -700
Yes +400

91st Academy Awards – Will an oscar trophy be Dropped during the Ceremony?

No -700
Yes +400

91st Academy Awards – Will Any Winners be Bleeped During their acceptance speech?

Yes EVEN
No -140

91st Academy Awards – How long will the abc official broadcast last?

UNDER 3 hours 15 minutes -140
OVER 3 hours 15 minutes EVEN

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