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The Academy Awards are perhaps the easiest event in which to gamble on. You just have to understand the risk vs. reward ratio is much higher, though the win percentage for favorites -300 or greater is somewhere in the neighborhood of 85% or greater.
Nomadland represents the best of the betting options in that the price is -600. In the world of Oscar gambling, this is considered huge value. Academy Award favorites are often priced -1000 or greater. Anything -300 or less runs the risk of losing out to another nominee.
With Nomadland, there really is no other film that comes close to competing.
The -600 price means that you would risk $60 to win $10. That might not sound very attractive, however, you are almost guaranteed to get that $60 back plus the $10 profit.
Nomadland captures Frances McDormand playing a woman embarking on a journey through the American West after losing everything during the recession. The film plays especially well to the current day situation of exiting a global pandemic that brought the world economy - and most folks lives - to a screeching halt.
The movie garnered a 94% score on the RottenTomatoes rating aggregator, though the overall audience score came in at 82%.
The Trial of the Chicago 7 offers only a modest threat to Nomadland with a payout potential of $50 for every $10 bet.
| Rot | Academy Awards - Best Picture Winner | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nomadland | -600 |
| 2 | The Trial of the Chicago 7 | +500 |
| 3 | Minari | +1400 |
| 4 | Promising Young Woman | +1200 |
| 5 | Mank | +2800 |
| 6 | Judas and the Black Messiah | +2500 |
| 7 | Sound of Metal | +7500 |
| 8 | The Father | +7500 |
- Jordan Bach, Gambling911.com
