SNF Prop Betting – Los Angeles Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers
Another prop bettors dream takes place in the Week 13 Sunday Night Football matchup between AFC contenders Los Angeles Chargers and Pittsburgh Steelers.
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It likely won’t rival that of the Chiefs-Rams offensive explosion from a few weeks ago, and it’ll probably be some time, if ever, before something like that happens again. But with Philip Rivers and Ben Roethlisberger dealing on the Heinz Field turf, NBC definitely made the right move in flexing this showdown to prime time.
Los Angeles Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers
Date and Time: Sunday, December 2, 2018, 8:20 p.m. ET
Location: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA
NFL Odds: Steelers -3, O/U 51.5
Chargers at Steelers TV Coverage: NBC
There is this perception that the Chargers have an explosive offense that consistently racks up the yards and points. Well, that’s partly true. They have a top QB and some of the best pass-catching talent in the league, but they haven’t been the Chiefs or Rams in regards to points. Last week’s outburst was the first time the Bolts scored more than 40 in a game and they hadn’t topped 25 points in any of their previous four.
But make no mistake this is a team that should be having games like their 45-10 smackdown of the Cardinals rather than the 22-point debacle against the Broncos. And Rivers made sure that was the case last week. In one of the best showings of passing accuracy, Rivers established a NFL record for completion percentage by hitting on 96.6 percent of his throws with only one misfire on his 29 attempts.
If Rivers is just slightly as good as last week the Bolts are in a good spot offensively. But they’ll have to play the next few games without leading rusher Melvin Gordon, who sustained a knee injury against the Cards. Gordon’s 802 rushing yards placed him third in the AFC and sixth in the league in that category, and his absence will force Rivers to throw the ball more. That puts him in a good spot on the prop bet list at BookMaker.eu to surpass his passing yardage total.
The Chargers will turn to Austin Ekeler, Justin Jackson and Detrez Newsome to pick up the production left behind by Gordon. Ekeler will get a bulk of the snaps and has shown to be a valuable part of the offense when inserted. The second-year player caught 10 balls last week and is third on the team with 32 receptions. He’ll be used as an extension of the run game in the short passing game and is a candidate to exceed his total in receptions and yards from scrimmage in a prop play.
Nobody in the NFL likes to throw the football more than Ben Roethlisberger, and he’ll be slinging it around the yard on Sunday night. Big Ben threw 56 passes last week, and that’s not even a season-high. He’s thrown more than 40 passes in a game seven times and his 3,664 yards are second only to Matt Ryan. So you have an idea of what the Steelers like to do offensively.
Roethlisberger has thrown for over 300 yards in each of the last three games and had his second 400-yard game of the season at Denver last week, amassing 462 yards on 41 of 56 passing. He tossed a pair of interceptions, one of which thwarted a potential game-tying drive late in the fourth quarter. Still, Big Ben isn’t going to stop throwing the ball, and he’s a good choice on a prop bet at BookMaker.eu to surpass his yardage total considering he’ll throw the ball a lot.
And with all those throws comes the increased likelihood of an interception. Big Ben has tossed 12 this season, the second-highest total in the league, with five coming in the last two games. The Chargers have several ball-hawks in the secondary with Desmond King snaring three picks and rookie Derwin James adding a pair. Six other players have one pick and the team total of 11 is tied for the sixth-highest.
Don’t expect this game to be all about offense. Both teams rank among the top-10 in total defense and in the upper half in scoring defense. The Steelers lead the NFL in sacks and the Bolts will see their number climb now that Joey Bosa is back in the lineup. Bosa had two sacks last week and the Bolts have 28. Given the number of passes that are expected to be thrown, you can take a calculated risk on both quarterbacks going down a few times, and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see Bosa and T.J. Watt in a few of them.
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