Tony Ferguson vs. Justin Gaethje KO Odds

Submitted by Don Shapiro on

Written by :

Don Shapiro

Published on :

Tony Ferguson vs. Justin Gaethje KO Odds

Tony Ferguson vs. Justin Gaethje ending with a KO or TKO was priced at -150.

Ferguson has fought 28 times with 12 wins.  12 of those were by knockout, 8 by submission, 5 by decision.

Gaethje has 21 out of 23 wins (2 losses).  18 of those were by knockout.

It makes sense that Knockout would be the favorite here.

Submission pays $25 for every $10 bet, Points pays $37 for every $10 bet.

The line on this fight is -205 for Ferguson.  Gaethje pays $17.50 for every $10 bet.

This one should be competitive, at least in theory. A knockout victory might not be easy to come by.

Still, Scott Harris of Bleacher Report sees a KO in the 1st round.  And it won't be Gaethje passed out on the mat.

I'm not viewing this as some kind of Khabib consolation match. This bout takes a back seat to none. 

My prediction? Pain. Both of these guys are going to get hurt. In a nutshell, Ferguson has the gas tank and the all-around game, while Gaethje has the power and the takedown defense. There will be no backing down. When the dust settles, Nurmagomedov will have a new challenger. To my way of thinking, no one tops Khabib once the action hits the mat. So if you would like to see a new lightweight champion, Gaethje is your guy. With Gaethje, it only takes one. 

Gaethje, KO, Rd. 1. 

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

Related Content

Top Gambling News Stories for Thursday August 13, 2026

Top Gambling News Stories for Thursday August 13, 2026

Mississippi State Gambling Scandal - St. Jude Championship Golf - Guilty Pleas Basketball Game-Fixing Case
Judge Issues Arrest Warrant for Las Vegas Sports Bettor 'Vegas Dave'

Judge Issues Arrest Warrant for Las Vegas Sports Bettor 'Vegas Dave'

A judge said he would issue an arrest warrant for Las Vegas sports betting figure David Oancea on Thursday after Oancea failed to appear in court. Oancea is better known in the sports betting community as "Vegas Dave".
Ben Shelton v Brandon Nakashima Betting Markets - ATP Montreal 2026 Odds

Ben Shelton v Brandon Nakashima Betting Markets - ATP Montreal 2026 Odds

Ben Shelton is the -245 favorite as Brandon Nakashima continues his shock advance at this year's ATP Montreal. Nakashima pays $200 for every $100 bet to win Thursday.
Hilo, Hawaii Getting a New Nonstop Flight to Las Vegas

Hilo, Hawaii Getting a New Nonstop Flight to Las Vegas

Southwest Airlines has begun flying its new nonstop flight between Hilo, Hawaii and Las Vegas.