NFL Conference Championships: Sportsbooks Can Protect Their Profit
The 2018 NFL Conference Championships take place this weekend on Jan. 21. The AFC Championship has the Jacksonville Jaguars traveling to New England to battle the Patriots.
The NFC Championship has the Minnesota Vikings traveling to Philadelphia to take on the Eagles.
2018 NFL Conference Championships
Online bookie agents can protect the profits they make off the NFL Conference Championship games. Understanding why and how will assist agents in protecting their sportsbooks.
See below for more details.
Sunday, Jan. 21
Jacksonville Jaguars +9 at New England Patriots -9
Right now, an inordinate amount of NFL handicappers back the Jacksonville Jaguars at +9. 61% believe the Jags are good enough to keep the NFC Championship within 10 points.
39% believe the New England Patriots are the better wager at -9.
The best way to protect profits is for agents to utilize their layoff account. They should only use the layoff account if they must.
Pay per head agents run specific privately-owned sportsbooks. What happens in one sportsbook doesn’t always happen in another sportsbook.
Agents who run sportsbooks where the Patriots are over bet, might want to consider not using their layoff accounts.
The Jaguars match up well with the Patriots. By using their layoff accounts in situations where the Patriots are over bet, they could be leaving money on the table.
If a pay per agent has any doubt about who might cover the 9-point spread, she should use her layoff account.
One other thing agents should consider doing is taking the Jags’ moneyline bet off the board. The odds should be well over +300 for the Jags to upset the Patriots straight up.
Minnesota Vikings -3 at Philadelphia Eagles +3
The Eagles are favored only slightly at +3 in their NFC Championship battle versus the Minnesota Vikings. Philadelphia has garnered 51% of the public’s backing at +3.
The Minnesota Vikings have garnered 49% of the public’s backing.
It doesn’t matter which team is over bet. Whether pay per head agents run their sportsbooks where Minnesota is over bet, or where Philadelphia is over bet, the result is the same.
Agents must utilize their layoff accounts.
The NFC Championship is too close to determine who has the edge. It’s only a 3-point game, meaning one or two plays could swing it one way or another.
What Should Online Bookie Agents Do?
There are few things online bookie agents should do for both NFL Conference Championship games.
The first thing to do is to add a half a point either up or down on both spreads. This is particularly true for Minnesota at Philadelphia.
The spread should be 3.5, or 2.5. It shouldn’t be on a whole number.
Use the Line Mover offered through PayPerHead’s Prime Package to do so. If an online bookie doesn’t have access to PayPerHead’s Line Move, they can upgrade their sportsbook software for just $10 per head.
Those who already have PayPerHead’s Professional Package can upgrade to Prime right now for for FREE.
The second thing to do is to consider a schedule limit override if a pay per head agent receives too much action on either game.
Remember, NFL Conference Championships are two of the final three football games of the season.
Betting interest should be higher on the NFL Conference Championships than on any other football game this season outside of the Super Bowl.
Pay per head agents need to protect their sportsbooks’ profits during the NFL Conference Championships, this way they’ll stay in the black for Super Bowl LII on Feb. 4th.
