Paddy O’Prado: Odds Slashed Due to Weather
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Paddy O'Prado has gone from a huge Kentucky Derby long shot near 20/1 odds to a horse that was closing in on the favorite. Sportsbook.com at 3 pm EST had slashed Paddy O'Prado's odds to +800 for a payout potential of $80 on every $10 bet. (note: last minute odds had this one paying $110 for every $10 bet but you must get your wager in now via Visa or Mastercard)
"As weather conditions at Churchill Downs deteriorate, more and more action is coming in on Paddy O'Prado, who has already demonstrated he can run in mud," observes Don Shapiro of Gambling911.com.
Paddy O'Prado turned in one of the fastest pre-Derby workouts when he sped 5 furlongs in 58.4 seconds on a muddy track on April 23.
"He worked really well in the slop," trainer Dale Romans said. "I don't think it's going to back him up at all. There's a good chance it's going to move him up."
Trainer Todd Pletcher feels confident that any of his four starters can run well on a muddy track.
"All of our horses handled a wet track in their breezes (last) Saturday," said Pletcher, who will send Devil May Care, Discreetly Mine, Mission Impazible and Super Saver postward in the 136th Kentucky Derby.
"If there's a likelihood of slop or something similar, it may be an advantage for us. We know we can get over it and I'm not sure others can say that.
"For instance, you've got the California horses (racing on synthetic surfaces) that don't see wet tracks. It's hard to know how they might react to such a situation."
All 2010 Kentucky Derby odds appear below as of 3 pm EST Saturday.
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Awesome Act +900
Backtalk +2000
Conveyance +2500
Deans Kitten +3000
Devil May Care +1000
Discreetly Mine +3000
Dublin +1800
Homeboykris +2500
Ice Box +900
Jackson Bend +2500
Line of David +2000
Lookin at Lucky +550
Make Music for Me +3000
Mission Impazible +1500
Paddy OPrado +800
Sidneys Candy +800
Stately Victor +2000
Super Saver +800
Carrie Stroup, Gambling911.com Senior Reporter