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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Denver Broncos betting odds opened at Denver -3 across the board and this line hasn't moved one bit since.
Gambling911.com believes that Tampa Bay should actually be a 1 point favorite here.
There is little head-to-head matchup history between these two teams.
Both clubs are 3-1 and we are not putting too much emphasis on Denver's loss in Kansas City this past weekend. Things happen. The Broncos scored more than 30 points in their previous games.
The Broncos are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS loss and they are 3-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Denver (3-1) gave up 28.0 points and 421.7 yards per game in its first three contests, but averaged 38.0 points and 432.0 yards to go undefeated in that stretch. The Broncos, though, couldn't extend that streak last Sunday, when their offense totaled 446 yards but failed to bail out the defense in a 33-19 road loss to lowly Kansas City.
"I'm disappointed. We could've played better," safety Marlon McCree said. "The thing about a loss like that is it humbles you and makes you focus and tighten things up."
The Bucs held Green Bay to a season-low 181 yards in a 30-21 victory last Sunday - their third straight. They fell behind early in the fourth quarter before scoring the game's last 10 points to stay in a first-place tie with Carolina in the NFC South.
"This is a testament to this team, just finding a way to win in the fourth quarter," 10-time Pro Bowl linebacker Derrick Brooks said. "No matter what phase of the game or who it is, we've been able to come up with big plays. To me, that's the sign of a good football team."
Brooks and the Tampa Bay defense will try to keep the pressure on Denver quarterback Jay Cutler, who's second in the league in completions (102) and passing yards (1,275) and third with nine touchdowns. The third-year player passed for a season-high 361 yards in last week's defeat.
Make no mistake about it, the betting public is all over Denver at a 90 percent clip this weekend and the odds makers are not moving the line at all.
We are going to be playing with fire a little bit here and predict that Tampa covers this +3 point line in Denver especially when you consider that their two home games this season were won by only 2 and 1 points, respectively.
It's very possible this one can turn into a push. That's what happened the last time Tampa Bay played in Denver as a 3 point underdog.
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Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
