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The Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Denver Broncos betting odds were hovering between Denver -2 ½ and -3 after opening at -3.
Jacksonville has won three of the last four in this series dating back to 1999 including an impressive road win last season.
Denver (4-1) has surged to a two-game lead in the AFC West thanks to an offense that's averaging 415.0 yards through its first five games. Jay Cutler and the Broncos' passing attack have led the way, throwing for 296.8 yards per game, and Cutler leads all AFC quarterbacks in passing yards (1,502) while he's tossed 10 touchdowns and just four interceptions.
As dominant as Denver's offense has been, though, its defense has been nearly as bad. The Broncos are 29th in the league in total defense, allowing 388.4 ypg, and they came into last week's game against Tampa Bay giving up 29.3 points per game.
Jacksonville has hardly looked impressive though they have managed to stay in games with a 2-3 record, hardly the team that was favored to possibly go all the way by oddsmakers. All five of Jacksonville's games this season have been decided by a touchdown or less.
With a win Sunday, the Jaguars can become just the sixth team ever outside the AFC West to post back-to-back wins in Denver. Jacksonville knocked off the Broncos 23-14 at Invesco Field on Sept. 23, 2007.
An interesting stat to consider here is that the Jaguars are 4-1 ATS against AFC West teams over the past three years. Denver, on the other hand, is 1-4 ATS against AFC South teams. Another riveting stat is that the Broncos are 1-13 ATS in games where the total is between 42 ½ and 49 points. The total here is 48 points. This is indicative of a poor defensive outlook that probably favors Jacksonville more.
The Jaguars are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on grass while the Broncos are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS loss. They are also 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 home games, mainly because of close wins and losses.
A very important stat is Denver being 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win and they are 1-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
All these past stats suggest Jacksonville should be able to cover the +3 ½ line found at betED.com and this is Gambling911.com's pick for Jacksonville vs. Denver.
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Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
