NBA Betting Tips: Quality of Opponent

Sports handicapper extraordinaire, Tony George, asks:  Does quality of opponent help with your NBA betting?

In this installment of NBA Betting Tips, we look at Quality of Opponent and it's effect on betting outcomes (profit).

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The NBA season is a long one and because of this presents a number of NBA Picks angles through the year. Some prescribe to the back to back game scenerio betting where they fade a team playing for the second night in a row! Other's look to capatilize on teams playing their last game of a long road trip (more than 5 games) as an angle to play against.

In this article I decided to through another angle into the mix where I looked at the quality of teams and how they faired versus the number in certain situations. As an example, is there a profitable NBA pick when two bad teams or two good teams play each other? Well, let's take a look:
 


Scenerio #1
 
Two Bad Teams Playing Each Other
 
First, let's define a bad team. In this analysis these would be teams who are winning less than 40% of their games on the season. Over the last three seasons when two bad teams have met the road team has hit 54.6% ATS while the over has hit 53.5%. Both coming in a slight money maker. However, if the home team is an underdog in this matchup the road team has hit a profitable 59% versus the number while the UNDER becomes the play hitting 63.4%.


Scenerio #2
 
Two Good Teams Playing Each Other
 
As with the first scenerio let's first define a good team. For the purposes of this article a good team is any team winning 60% of more of their games on the season. In the same time span as above the home team has hit 56.2% while the under come in 56.4% of the time. Refining our approach, if the home team is listed as a dog they have grabbed the cash 59.3% of the time while the under rocks to 62%.


Scenerio #3
 
The most profitable angle for Winning an NBA Pick
 
With all of this said the most profitable angle to consider and gain an advantage is playing a home dog, two good teams, both coming off a win in their previous game. The home team covered a whopping 63.4% of the time.
 


After finishing #1 last season in the NBA, Michael Alexander has been red hot on the NBA Hardood hitting 70% of his selections! Join him again today at www.sportsaudioshows.com along with 13 other top named cappers like Tony George, Doc Sports, Matt Fargo, John Ryan and others, Loads of FREE PLAYS TOO!

Tony George, Gambling911.com