Bet the Rays-Rockies Series July 18-20: Take the Over in Colorado?
You can bet the Rays-Rockies series this week with a special emphasis on the OVER in Colorado.
Games played in Colorado are a total bettor’s dream, and with good reason. Thus far this season, the OVER has gone 25-16 in Colorado.
The Rays and Rockies haven’t met in three years so we will examine recent runs allowed by both Rockies and Rays starters who are taking to the mound in this series.
There is no way we will take the OVER in Game One as Tyler Anderson has allowed fewer than four runs in all six of his starts this season. This one had a total of 11.5.
Tyler Chatwood (8-5) gave up four earned runs on eight hits and three walks over five innings in Sunday's 10-3 loss to the Phillies so we anticipate him pitching better against the Rays on Tuesday. Four of his last five starts in Colorado have concluded with fewer than 9.5 runs scored between both teams.
Jorge De La Rosa (6-6) allowed two runs on eight hits and three walks while striking out two over six innings to earn the win Friday at the Braves. But get this, four of his last fifteen starts in Colorado have resulted in fifteen runs or more despite allowing no more than three runs in any of his last nine starts overall.
Jumping to the Rays Chris Archer, he’s lost in six straight starts coming into Colorado. Five of the last six games he has started, he has allowed four or more runs. He’s allowed 5, 4, 3 and 5 runs in his last four road games.
Problem: The total will probably be 12.5 or higher with Archer starting for Tampa Bay but the Rays have scored 4 or fewer runs in eight of their last ten games overall with two others featuring five runs scored.
De La Rosa is a good pitcher going up against a bad team that has lost nine of their last ten games overall. Archer will come into this one desperate.
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
