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The 2010 Super Bowl spread heading into Saturday afternoon was at Colts -5 at BetUS.com. The Miami Dolphins were not playing in the 2010 Super Bowl, thus there cannot be a home field advantage, right?
One might think that because New Orleans is in the south that the city is closer to Miami than is Indianapolis. It is, but by only a little more than 300 miles, not to mention that the Colts fan base stretches well into Kentucky and beyond.
Tim Furious of BetUS.com:
"With the game in Miami on Sunday, neither New Orleans nor Indianapolis can claim a home field advantage and the crowd will be nothing more than a mixed bag of Saints, Colts, drunks, rich guys and regular football fans. In fact, both New Orleans and Indianapolis are about 1,000 miles away from Miami so there's no serious advantage or disadvantage for either team in this regard."
Spread bets typically take into account home field advantage with an added 3 points for the host team with the exception of a handful of NFL clubs where the fan base is somewhat diminished.
Based on the USA Today Sagarin Formula, the 2010 Super Bowl spread should be closer to even in all regards when not calculating a home field advantage.
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Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
