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Those at the prediction market Kalshi now give US Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem a 24% (3/1 odds) chance of being the next to leave the administration of US President Donald Trump.
Her odds had already been around 14% heading into this week.
Noem's odds remain fluid following a video that went viral of a fatal shooting in Minneapolis on Wednesday involving an Immigration and Customs Enforcement officer,
State and local officials demanded ICE leave the state after 37-year-old Renee Nicole Macklin Good was shot in the head. But Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem said agents are not going anywhere.
The Department of Homeland Security has deployed more than 2,000 officers to the area in what it says is its largest immigration enforcement operation ever. Noem said more than 1,500 people have been arrested.
Prior to the video of the incident going public, Noem called the incident an “act of domestic terrorism” against ICE officers, saying the driver “attempted to run them over and rammed them with her vehicle. An officer of ours acted quickly and defensively, shot, to protect himself and the people around him.”
Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey called Noem’s version of events “garbage.”
“They are already trying to spin this as an action of self-defense,” Frey said. “Having seen the video myself, I wanna tell everybody directly, that is bullshit.”
He also criticized the federal deployment and said the agents should leave.
The betting public has Attorney General Pam Bondi at 16% as the second most likely to leave the Trump Administration next while Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth was listed with a 12% chance.
- Jagajeet Chiba, Gambling911.com
