Elon Musk's Security Clearance Revoked This Year Betting Available at Kalshi

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BetOnline this week began taking bets on all things US President Donald Trump vs. billionaire businessman Elon Musk following a public spat between the two men.

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This betting market had attracted the most interest here at Gambling911.com in recent days.

Betting on the Trump-Musk feud had so far seen around a thousand impressions by early Friday morning while betting on Musk unfollowing Trump on X witnessed a few hundred views just a few hours after publishing those prop bets.

Trump has already called Musk “CRAZY” and suggested that he may target the Tesla CEO’s government contracts.  Musk is also the CEO of SpaceX.

The prediction market Kalshi just released a betting market on whether Musk's security clearance will be revoked.  Between 45% and 55% believe it will be.  The action has been nominal, considering how popular the feud is among gamblers thus far.  Kalshi is reporting just under $7000 in wagering volume heading into Sunday afternoon.  Compare that with their French Open betting market, which has taken in close to $13 million in wagers thus far.

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If Elon Musk loses his security clearance before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi includes the following sources from official White House press pool reports to determine the outcome.  

The Source Agencies are the United States Department of Defense, U.S. Department of State, Department of Justice Office of the Pardon Attorney, United States Department of Homeland Security, U.S. Office of Personnel Management, relevant federal courts, , New York Times, the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, Energy Information Administration, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, Central Intelligence Agency, Office of the Director of National Intelligence, Defense Counterintelligence, Security Agency, and congressional committees with oversight authority.

Which nickname will Trump give Musk?

 

Ego/Egocentric/Egomaniac Elon

5/1

Mad Musk

6/1

Odd/Oddball Elon

7/1

Addict/Addicted Elon

8/1

Autism/Autistic

10/1

Megalomania Musk

10/1

Weird/Weirdo Elon

10/1

Impulsive Elon

12/1

Unpredictable Elon

16/1

ADHD Elon

22/1

Immigrant Musk

25/1

Junkie Musk

25/1

Mercurial Musk

25/1

Oligarch Elon

25/1

Adolf Elon

28/1

Ketamine Musk

33/1

Benedict Musk

40/1

Punching Bag Musk

40/1

Smelly Musk

40/1

 

 

Who gave Musk the black eye?

 

Scott Bessent

4/7

Stephen Miller

3/2

Colby Covington

25/1

Dana White

25/1

Donald Trump Jr.

25/1

Donald Trump Sr.

25/1

Jorge Masvidal

25/1

Bryce Mitchell

33/1

Mason Rudolph

33/1

Nick Bosa

33/1

Tito Ortiz

33/1

Mark Zuckerberg

40/1

J.D. Vance

50/1

Kid Rock

50/1

Katie Miller

100/1

Melania Trump

100/1

 

 

Who will be Elon Musk's next girlfriend?

 

Katie Miller

1/3

Lauren Boebert

8/1

Candace Owens

16/1

Scottie Nell Hughes

20/1

Kayleigh McEneny

33/1

Nancy Mace

33/1

Any Member of Trump Family

50/1

Karoline Leavitt

50/1

Katie Britt

50/1

Laura Loomer

50/1

Megyn Kelly

50/1

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

500/1

Jasmine Crockett

500/1

 

 

What will happen first?

 

Trump to Post Photo-Shopped/AI Image of Musk

1/1

Trump Mentions Musk Drug Use

2/1

Trump to Terminate DOGE

3/1

Musk Endorses Democratic Party

14/1

Musk to Call For Trump Impeachment

16/1

Musk to Be Indicted

25/1

Either Challenges Others to Fight

33/1

Trump Orders ICE to Deport Musk

50/1

Melania to Start Working for Musk

100/1

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